2025年7月20日 周日
Construction of free trade pilot zone, optimization of human capital structure and upgrading of export industry
CSTR:
Author:
Clc Number:

F741

  • Article
  • | |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference [43]
  • |
  • Related [20]
  • | | |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    As an important experimental platform for deepening reform and opening up in the new era, whether the free trade pilot zone can effectively promote the upgrading of export industries has an important impact on the high-quality development of China's trade. Therefore, the authors aim to explore whether the construction of the free trade pilot zone can effectively promote the upgrading of the export industry through the optimization of the human capital structure, and whether there are differences in the effects of the construction of the free trade pilot zone in terms of the technical level, the regional distribution of the eastern and western regions, the "city-district" distribution form and the establishment of different batches of free trade pilot zones. The authors take the construction of free trade pilot zone as a quasi-natural experiment, and use the double difference method to evaluate the impact of the construction of free trade pilot zone on the upgrading of China's export industry. The conclusions are as follows: 1) The construction of the free trade pilot zone has effectively promoted the upgrading of China's export industry, and the empirical results are still stable after carrying out strict identification assumptions and robustness tests. 2) From the perspective of impact mechanism, the free trade pilot zone promotes the upgrading of export industry through the optimization of human capital structure. 3) From the perspective of urban heterogeneity, cities with high technological level, the eastern region, "one city with multiple districts" and "long cycle" free trade pilot zones are more likely to promote the upgrading of export industries. The contribution of the article mainly includes the following aspects: At the research level, the existing research on the relationship between the free trade pilot zone and the upgrading of industrial structure has remained at the provincial level, ignoring the heterogeneity of cities in the upgrading of industrial structure. This paper, based on the panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2018, has more accurately and directly examined the impact of the free trade pilot zone on the upgrading of export industries. We should grasp the heterogeneity characteristics of the impact of the construction of free trade pilot zones on the upgrading of China's export industries as far as possible from the aspects of high and low technical level, regional characteristics of the east and the west, the form of "city-district" distribution and the establishment batch, and provide the basis for the country to formulate relevant differentiation policies. In terms of research methods, the dual difference method is used to identify the relationship between the free trade pilot zone and the upgrading of export industries, and factors such as the randomness of the location of the free trade pilot zone are included in the identification conditions, which can better solve the endogenous problems that may exist in the study. In terms of mechanism, the intermediary variables that affect the upgrading of export industries in the free trade pilot zone are examined from the perspective of human capital structure, and the mechanism research of the existing free trade pilot zone is expanded. In addition, it also captures the optimization of human capital structure from the perspective of labor skill level, which helps to fully understand the impact mechanism of the optimization of human capital structure to promote the upgrading of export industries. The conclusion of the article provides empirical evidence for the free trade pilot zone to further optimize the human capital structure and for China's industrial transformation and upgrading.

    Reference
    [1] 周茂,李雨浓,姚星,等.人力资本扩张与中国城市制造业出口升级:来自高校扩招的证据[J].管理世界,2019(5):64-77,198.
    [2] 项后军,何康.自贸区的影响与资本流动:以上海为例的自然实验研究[J].国际贸易问题,2016(8):3-15.
    [3] 韩瑞栋,薄凡.自由贸易试验区对资本流动的影响效应研究:基于准自然实验的视角[J].国际金融研究,2019(7):36-45.
    [4] 王利辉,刘志红.上海自贸区对地区经济的影响效应研究:基于"反事实"思维视角[J].国际贸易问题,2017(2):3-15.
    [5] 叶修群.自由贸易试验区与经济增长:基于准自然实验的实证研究[J].经济评论,2018(4):18-30.
    [6] 王鹏,郑靖宇.自由贸易试验区的设立如何影响贸易方式转型:基于广东自由贸易试验区的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2017(6):71-82.
    [7] 王智烜,王雪,邓力平.自由贸易试验区税收效应评析:以福建为例[J].税务研究,2017(9):58-63.
    [8] 宋丽颖,郭敏.自贸区政策对地方财力的影响研究:基于双重差分法和合成控制法的分析[J].经济问题探索,2019(11):14-24.
    [9] 刘秉镰,王钺.自贸区对区域创新能力的影响效应研究:来自上海自由贸易试验区准实验的证据[J].经济与管理研究,2018(9):65-74.
    [10] 黄启才.自贸试验区设立促进外商直接投资增加了吗:基于合成控制法的研究[J].宏观经济研究,2018(4):85-96.
    [11] 谭建华,丁红燕,严丽娜.自由贸易试验区的设立提高了企业投资效率吗[J].山西财经大学学报,2019(9):16-29.
    [12] 安苑,王珺.财政行为波动影响产业结构升级了吗:基于产业技术复杂度的考察[J].管理世界,2012(9):19-35,187.
    [13] 贺俊.技术创新、制度创新与产业升级:"产业政策与创新"两岸学术研讨会会议综述[J].中国工业经济,2014(9):91-96.
    [14] 韩永辉,黄亮雄,王贤彬.产业政策推动地方产业结构升级了吗:基于发展型地方政府的理论解释与实证检验[J].经济研究,2017(8):33-48.
    [15] 周茂,陆毅,杜艳,等.开发区设立与地区制造业升级[J].中国工业经济,2018(3):62-79.
    [16] 齐鹰飞,LI Yuanfei.财政支出的部门配置与中国产业结构升级:基于生产网络模型的分析[J].经济研究,2020(4):86-100.
    [17] 郭凯明,潘珊,颜色.新型基础设施投资与产业结构转型升级[J].中国工业经济,2020(3):63-80.
    [18] 李世杰,赵婷茹.自贸试验区促进产业结构升级了吗:基于中国(上海)自贸试验区的实证分析[J].中央财经大学学报,2019(8):118-128.
    [19] 黎绍凯,李露一.自贸区对产业结构升级的政策效应研究:基于上海自由贸易试验区的准自然实验[J].经济经纬,2019(5):79-86.
    [20] 聂飞.中国-东盟自贸区战略的贸易创造效应研究:基于合成控制法的实证分析[J].财贸研究,2017(7):36-47.
    [21] 邓慧慧,赵家羚,赵晓坤.自由贸易试验区助推产业升级的效果评估:基于产业技术复杂度视角[J].国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报),2020(5):35-48.
    [22] 方云龙.自由贸易试验区建设促进了区域产业结构升级吗:来自沪津闽粤四大自贸区的经验证据[J].经济体制改革,2020(5):178-185.
    [23] 支宇鹏,黄立群,陈乔.自由贸易试验区建设与地区产业结构转型升级:基于中国286个城市面板数据的实证分析[J].南方经济,2021(4):37-54.
    [24] 陈晨,刘冠军.实现高质量就业与提升人力资本水平研究[J].中国特色社会主义研究,2019(3):42-50.
    [25] 周茂,陆毅,李雨浓.地区产业升级与劳动收入份额:基于合成工具变量的估计[J].经济研究,2018(11):132-147.
    [26] ALVAREZ-CUADRADO F,VAN LONG N,POSCHKE M.Capital-labor substitution,structural change,and growth[J].Theoretical Economics,2017,12(3):1229-1266.
    [27] HERRENDORF B,ROGERSON R,VALENTINYI A.Structural change in investment and consumption:A unified approach[R].NBER Working Paper,2018.
    [28] HAUSMANN R,HWANG J,RODRIK D.What You export matters[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2007(1):1-25.
    [29] 刘智勇,李海峥,胡永远,等.人力资本结构高级化与经济增长:兼论东中西部地区差距的形成和缩小[J].经济研究,2018(3):50-63.
    [30] 袁航,朱承亮.国家高新区推动了中国产业结构转型升级吗[J].中国工业经济,2018(8):60-77.
    [31] 蒋灵多,陆毅,张国峰.自由贸易试验区建设与中国出口行为[J].中国工业经济,2021(8):75-93.
    [32] LU Y,TAO Z G,ZHANG Y.How do exporters respond to antidumping investigations?[J].Journal of International Economics,2013,91(2):290-300.
    [33] FAJGELBAUM P D,GOLDBERG P K,KENNEDY P J,et al.The return to protectionism[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,2020,135(1):1-55.
    [34] LA FERRARA E,CHONG A,DURYEA S.Soap operas and fertility:Evidence from Brazil[J].American Economic Journal:Applied Economics,2012,4(4):1-31.
    [35] LIU Q,LU Y.Firm investment and exporting:Evidence from China's value-added tax reform[J].Journal of International Economics,2015,97(2):392-403.
    [36] RODRIKD.What's so special about China's exports?[J].China&World Economy,2006,14(5):1-19.
    [37] 戴翔,张二震.中国出口技术复杂度真的赶上发达国家了吗[J].国际贸易问题,2011(7):3-16.
    [38] HIDALGO C A,HAUSMANN R.The building blocks of economic complexity[C]//Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2009,106(26):10570-10575.
    [39] 何小钢,罗奇,陈锦玲.高质量人力资本与中国城市产业结构升级:来自"高校扩招"的证据[J].经济评论,2020(4):3-19.
    [40] UNIDO. World Industry since 1960:Progress and Prospects[R].New York:United Nations,1979.
    [41] 陈波,贺超群.出口与工资差距:基于我国工业企业的理论与实证分析[J].管理世界,2013(8):6-15,40,187.
    [42] CHEN B,YU M J,YU Z H.Measured skill premia and input trade liberalization:Evidence from Chinese firms[J].Journal of International Economics,2017,109:31-42.
    [43] 李惠娟,李文秀,蔡伟宏.参与全球价值链分工、技能偏向性技术进步与技能溢价[J].国际经贸探索,2021(12):35-54.
    Cited by
    Comments
    Comments
    分享到微博
    Submit
Get Citation

沈和斌,邓富华.自由贸易试验区建设、人力资本结构优化与出口产业升级[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2023,(4):1~16

Copy
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:391
  • PDF: 773
  • HTML: 816
  • Cited by: 0
History
  • Online: September 08,2023
Article QR Code