城市给水系统灾害恢复力的地震鲁棒性分析
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国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2009BAK56B03);国家自然科学基金资助项目(70671033)


Analysis on Seismic Robustness of Urban Water SupplySystem Based on Disaster Resilience
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    摘要:

    基于灾害恢复力的概念和评价属性,以城市给水系统地震损失模型为研究路径,运用基于蒙特卡洛仿真的GIRAFFE模型,通过升级输水干道评价了城市给水系统在M6.5和M7.0两个震级下的技术鲁棒性和组织鲁棒性。结果表明,升级输水干道对系统的技术鲁棒性和组织鲁棒性效果明显,且随着震级的提高而越发显著。此外,输水干道的重要程度与震级强度无关,但随着震后时间的推移,其重要性取决于输水管道所处的系统位置,即在震后0时,处于系统枢纽位置的管道相对重要;在震后24 h,靠近供水源的管道则相对重要。

    Abstract:

    Based on the concept and characteristics of disaster resilience, technical robustness and organizational robustness were discussed by updating trunk lines of urban water supply system for two different earthquake magnitudes, M 6.5 and M 7.0 respectively, where lifeline earthquake loss model was taken as a starting point. Monte Carlo based GIRAFFE model was adopted in this research. Result shows that retrofit of trunk lines is helpful for both technical robustness and organizational robustness, and the updating effect would become more significant as the earthquake magnitude increases. Furthermore, criticalness of pipelines is not determined by the earthquake magnitude, but as time goes it depends on their respective locations in the system and system configuration. At the moment instantly after earthquake, the pipelines which are located at the center of system would be more critical; while 24 hours later, the pipelines which are closer to the reservoir will become more critical.

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金书淼,王绍玉.城市给水系统灾害恢复力的地震鲁棒性分析[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2012,34(Z1):209-214. JIN Shumiao, WANG Shaoyu. Analysis on Seismic Robustness of Urban Water SupplySystem Based on Disaster Resilience[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2012,34(Z1):209-214.[doi]

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  • 在线发布日期: 2012-09-13
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