联合鲸鱼算法和遗传算法优化GRNN预测斜拉索覆冰厚度
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U448.27

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国家自然科学基金(51778343)


Hybrid whale optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm for optimization of GRNN for predicting stayed cable icing thickness
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    摘要:

    为了预测冬季易结冰区斜拉索覆冰的增长,运用灰色关联分析方法分析斜拉索倾角、温度、湿度、风速、降雨量及气压对斜拉索覆冰厚度的关联影响,明确各影响因素的相关性大小,剔除弱相关性因素;联合遗传算法(GA)和鲸鱼算法(WOA)选择最优光滑因子,提出一种WOA-GA算法优化广义回归神经网络(GRNN)的斜拉索覆冰厚度预测方法。其特点是:以输出值与实际值均方差作为适应度函数,计算每个粒子的适应度值;将GA算法的交叉和变异算子引入WOA算法,同时借助权重更新策略,提升全局寻优的能力,避免WOA算法陷入局部最优解;最后,经过迭代寻优,输出最小适应度值对应的光滑因子,构建GRNN预测模型。结果表明:环境温度相关性最高,其次是倾角、降水量、风速、相对湿度,气压关联度最小,呈弱相关性;相比于传统的GRNN、WOA-GRNN、PSO-GA-GRNN模型,联合鲸鱼算法和遗传算法优化的GRNN覆冰预测模型精度较高,其平均绝对误差百分比仅为3.58%,均方根误差为0.58 mm;采用敏感性分析法评价影响因素对模型精度的影响,发现温度对模型影响程度最大,其次是拉索倾角。

    Abstract:

    In order to estimate the icing growth characteristics of stay cables in the ice prone area in winter, the grey correlation analysis method is used to analyze the correlation effects of inclination angle, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall and air pressure on the icing thickness of stay cables, and the correlation of each influential factor is determined. Then, the genetic algorithm (GA) and the whale algorithm (WOA) are combined to select the optimal smoothing factor, and a WOA-GA Optimized Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) method is proposed to predict the icing thickness of stay cables. Its characteristic is to take the mean square deviation of output value and actual value as fitness function, and to calculate the fitness value of each particle; introducing the crossover and mutation operator of GA algorithm into WOA algorithm; meanwhile, via weight update strategy, the capacity of global optimization is improved, to prevent the WOA algorithm falling into local optimal; finally, through iterative optimization, the smooth factor corresponding to the minimum fitness value was output, and the GRNN pre optimization model was built. The results show that the correlation of ambient temperature is the highest, followed by dip angle, precipitation, wind speed and relative humidity, and the correlation of atmospheric pressure is the lowest; compared with the traditional GRNN, WOA-GRNN and PSO-GA-GRNN models, the proposed GRNN model has high accuracy, with the average mean absolute percentage error of 3.58% and root mean square error of 0.58 mm; The sensitivity analysis method is used to evaluate the impact of the influential factors on the accuracy of the model. It is found that the temperature has the greatest influence on the model, followed by the cable inclination.

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汪峰,毛锦伟,刘章军.联合鲸鱼算法和遗传算法优化GRNN预测斜拉索覆冰厚度[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2022,44(3):10-19. WANG Feng, MAO Jinwei, LIU Zhangjun. Hybrid whale optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm for optimization of GRNN for predicting stayed cable icing thickness[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2022,44(3):10-19.10.11835/j. issn.2096-6717.2021.144

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  • 收稿日期:2021-03-16
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-02-16
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