考虑渗流作用的重力坝稳定与应力可靠度分析
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作者:
作者单位:

1.中国电建集团华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122;2.中国地质大学(武汉) 工程学院,武汉 430074;3.西南交通大学 智慧城市与交通学院,成都 611756

作者简介:

杨鸽(1987-),女,高级工程师,主要从事水利工程可靠度分析和信息化设计研究,E-mail: yang_g@hdec.com。
YANG Ge (1987- ), senior engineer, main research interests: reliability analysis and information design of hydraulic engineering, E-mail: yang_g@hdec.com.

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

TV642.3

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(42002287)


Efficient reliability analysis of stability and stress of gravity dam considering seepage effect
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Power China Huadong Engineering Corporation Limited, Hangzhou 311122, P. R. China;2.Faculty of Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, P. R. China;3.Institute of Smart City and Intelligent Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, P. R. China

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42002287)

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    摘要:

    重力坝服役期间,渗流会对大坝稳定及应力产生不利影响,研究重力坝在渗流作用下的可靠度具有重要意义。将响应面法与随机有限元法结合,提出考虑渗流作用的重力坝稳定与应力高效可靠度分析方法。依托某水电站工程,通过敏感性分析,确定影响重力坝抗滑稳定与应力的关键不确定性参数;基于响应面法构建渗流作用下重力坝抗滑稳定安全系数的功能函数,计算多破坏模式的失效概率并与不考虑渗流作用的结果进行对比分析;采用概率失效分析方法定量分析关键不确定性参数对重力坝失效概率的影响。结果表明:考虑渗流作用计算得到的失效概率较高,忽略渗流作用会导致低估重力坝失效概率;比较3种失效模式,坝踵拉裂与沿坝基面滑动失稳最容易发生,其次是坝趾压坏。

    Abstract:

    During the service lifetime of gravity dams, seepage flow could adversely affect the dam stability and its stress distribution. In investigating the reliability of gravity dams, it holds paramount importance to account for the seepage effects. In this study, an efficient reliability analysis is conducted to evaluate the stability and stress distribution of gravity dams incorporating the influence of seepage effects. This analysis involves integrating the response surface method and random finite element approach. For a hydropower station project, the key uncertain parameters affecting the stability and stress distribution of gravity dams are identified through a parametric sensitivity analysis. Using the response surface method, the performance function for the anti-sliding stability safety factor of gravity dams under the seepage effects is established, and the failure probability considering multiple failure modes is calculated. Meanwhile, the simulated results are compared with those obtained without considering the seepage effects. The influence of key uncertainty parameters on the failure probability of gravity dam is quantitatively analyzed by the probabilistic failure analysis. These findings show that accounting for seepage effects leads to higher failure probabilities, indicating that neglecting these effects may underestimate the likelihood of dam failure. In comparison with the three failure modes, the heel cracking of the gravity dam and sliding instability along dam-foundation interface are most likely to occur, followed by the dam toe cracking. The results could provide a theoretical foundation and technical guide for evaluating the reliability of practical dam projects.

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杨鸽,蔡一坚,马玉福,吴琦,刘西军,张联宇.考虑渗流作用的重力坝稳定与应力可靠度分析[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2025,47(5):145-154. YANG Ge, CAI Yijian, MA Yufu, WU Qi, LIU Xijun, ZHANG Lianyu. Efficient reliability analysis of stability and stress of gravity dam considering seepage effect[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2025,47(5):145-154.10.11835/j. issn.2096-6717.2024.054

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-11-03
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