基于多边凸集模型的边坡非概率可靠性分析
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作者单位:

1.武汉工程大学 土木工程与建筑学院,武汉 430074;2.华中科技大学 土木与水利工程学院,武汉 430074

作者简介:

舒苏荀(1987- ),女,博士, 副教授,主要从事岩土工程风险评估研究,E-mail:hustssx@163.com。
SHU Suxun (1987- ), PhD, associate professor, main research interest: geotechnical engineering risk assessment, E-mail: hustssx@163.com.

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中图分类号:

P642.22

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(52008319)


Non-probabilistic reliability analysis of slope based on multilateral convex set model
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430074, P. R. China;2.School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, P. R. China

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 52008319)

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    摘要:

    现有边坡非概率可靠度方法中,采用凸集模型描述参数不确定性,仅能建立具有规则边界的不确定域,且其包络范围过大,针对该问题,提出一种基于多边凸集模型的边坡非概率可靠性分析方法。根据岩土参数样本数据的区间范围,基于二次响应面法和拉丁超立方抽样构建边坡的近似功能函数;同时建立传统区间模型和基于主成分分析方法的PCA(principal component analysis)区间模型,结合这两种模型构建多边凸集模型;采用HL-RF(Hasofer-Lind and Rackwitz-Fiessler)迭代算法识别极限状态函数的最可能失效点,并利用单纯形优化算法寻找极值点,根据距离比的非概率可靠性指标定义计算边坡的非概率可靠度,判断边坡的稳定性状态,通过算例分析验证了方法的可行性。与基于区间模型和椭球模型的边坡非概率可靠度方法相比,该方法与蒙特卡罗法的计算结果更吻合,随着抗剪强度参数变异性和相关性的增大,边坡的非概率可靠性指标减小。采用该方法分析边坡稳定性时,其判定结果与采用不同可靠度方法得到的判定结果一致。

    Abstract:

    Aiming to address the limitation of current non-probabilistic reliability methods for slopes, which can only construct an uncertain domain with regular boundaries and a large envelope when using the convex set model to describe parameter uncertainty, this study proposes a novel non-probabilistic reliability analysis method for slopes based on the multi-convex set model. The approximate performance function of the slope is formulated by the quadratic response surface method in conjunction with Latin hypercube sampling. Furthermore, both the traditional interval model and the PCA (principal component analysis)-based interval model are established. By integrating these two models, a multi-convex set model is constructed. The HL-RF (Hasofer-Lind and Rackwitz-Fiessler) iterative algorithm is employed to identify the most probable failure point of the limit state function, while the simplex optimization algorithm is utilized to locate the extreme point. Based on the definition of the non-probabilistic reliability index as a distance ratio, the non-probabilistic reliability of the slope is calculated, and its stability status is assessed accordingly. The feasibility of the proposed method is validated through case studies. Compared with non-probabilistic reliability methods for slopes based on the interval and ellipsoid model, the results obtained by the presented method exhibit greater consistency with those derived from the Monte Carlo method. As the variability and correlation of shear strength parameters increase, the non-probabilistic reliability index of the slope decreases. When applied to slope stability analysis, the judgment outcomes align well with those obtained via various reliability approaches.

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舒苏荀,杨志权,龚文惠,周春梅,钱家骏,皮康.基于多边凸集模型的边坡非概率可靠性分析[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2025,47(6):13-20. SHU Suxun, YANG Zhiquan, GONG Wenhui, ZHOU Chunmei, QIAN Jiajun, PI Kang. Non-probabilistic reliability analysis of slope based on multilateral convex set model[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2025,47(6):13-20.10.11835/j. issn.2096-6717.2025.055

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-17
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