库水位变化和降雨联合作用下黑水河岸坡稳定可靠度分析
CSTR:
作者:
作者单位:

1.重庆大学 土木工程学院,重庆 400045;2.河海大学 岩土力学与堤坝工程教育部重点实验室,南京 210024;3.极端环境岩土和隧道工程智能建养全国重点实验室(深圳大学),广东 深圳 518060;4.西藏农牧学院,水利土木工程学院,西藏 林芝 860000;5.西藏农牧学院,西藏土木水利电力工程技术研究中心

作者简介:

仉文岗(1983- ),男,博士,教授,主要从事岩土工程可靠度评价研究,E-mail:zhangwg@cqu.edu.cn。
ZHANG Wengang (1983- ), PhD, professor, main research interest: reliability analysis in geotechnical engineering, E-mail: zhangwg@cqu.edu.cn.

通讯作者:

顾鑫,男,博士,E-mail:guxin@ cqu.edu.cn。

中图分类号:

TU43

基金项目:

重庆市教委科技攻关项目(HZ2021001);四川省交通运输科技项目(2018-ZL-01);长江重庆航道工程局科技项目(H20230330)


Reliability analysis of bank slope stability in the Heishui River under combined effects of reservoir water level changes and rainfall
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Civil Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400045, P. R. China;2.Key Laboratory of the Ministry of Education for Geomechanics and Embankment Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210024, P. R. China;3.State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, Guangdong, P. R. China;4.a. College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering;5. Research Center of Civil, Hydraulic and Power Engineering of Xizang, Xizang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry University, Linzhi 860000, Xizang, P. R. China

Fund Project:

Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission (No. HZ2021001); Transport Science and Technology Program in Sichuan Province (No. 2018-ZL-01); Science and Technology Program of Chongqing Waterway Engineering Bureau of Yangtze River (No. H20230330)

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    库水位变化和降雨联合作用下的边坡稳定分析通常采用确定性分析方法,然而岩土体参数具有天然的空间变异性,确定性分析方法无法准确评估边坡的稳定性。以白鹤滩库区黑水河岸坡为例,基于实测降雨和库水位数据,分析了1 a周期内库水位变化和降雨联合作用下的边坡稳定性。通过确定性分析确定3种最不利工况。在此基础上,进一步考虑有效黏聚力c′、有效内摩擦角φ′、饱和渗透系数ks的空间变异性,利用随机有限差分法(RFDM)对比平稳随机场和非平稳随机场对边坡可靠度分析结果的影响规律。结果表明,相较于降雨入渗,库水位涨落对边坡稳定性起关键性作用,最小安全系数出现在库水位快速下降期,且降雨和库水位的联合作用显著增大了边坡的失效概率和滑动体积。此外,在对边坡稳定性开展随机分析时,应当考虑岩土体参数随深度变化的特性,否则将低估边坡的稳定性。

    Abstract:

    Current slope stability analysis under the combined effects of reservoir water level and rainfall is estimated commonly via the deterministic analysis methods. However, these methods cannot accurately evaluate the slope stability due to the inherent spatial variability of geotechnical parameters. Therefore, in this study, the slope stability influenced by reservoir water level and rainfall is analyzed based on the monitored data during an annual cycle of rainfall and reservoir water level, taking the bank slope of Heishui River in Baihetan reservoir area as an example. Firstly, the three most unfavorable cases are determined through deterministic analysis. Accordingly, the influences of stationary and non-stationary random fields on the results of slope reliability analysis are compared using the stochastic finite difference method (RFDM), considering the spatial variability of effective cohesion c′, effective friction angle φ′ and saturated permeability coefficient ks, respectively. Results show that, compared with the rainfall infiltration, the reservoir water level fluctuation plays a crucial role in slope stability, and the minimum safety factor occurs during the rapid drawdown. Meanwhile, the combined effects of rainfall and reservoir water level would significantly increase the slope failure probability and sliding volume. In addition, the depth-dependent characteristics of geotechnical parameters require to be considered when conducting stochastic analyses of slope stability, otherwise the slope stability would be underestimated.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

仉文岗,冉博,顾鑫,张飞,费建波,王培清,陈亮.库水位变化和降雨联合作用下黑水河岸坡稳定可靠度分析[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2025,47(6):43-51. ZHANG Wengang, RAN Bo, GU Xin, ZHANG Fei, FEI Jianbo, WANG Peiqing, CHEN Liang. Reliability analysis of bank slope stability in the Heishui River under combined effects of reservoir water level changes and rainfall[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2025,47(6):43-51.10.11835/j. issn.2096-6717.2024.077

复制
分享
相关视频

文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2024-06-05
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-17
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码