基于多元线性回归模型的面砖外墙劣化评估方法
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作者:
作者单位:

1.西南交通大学 土木工程学院,成都 610031;2.成都西南交通大学设计研究院有限公司,成都 610031;3.四川省建筑设计研究院有限公司,成都 610095

作者简介:

杨同越(1999- ),男,主要从事结构冲击与防护研究,E-mail:3248009935@qq.com。
YANG Tongyue (1999- ), main research interests: structural impact and protection, E-mail: 3248009935@qq.com.

通讯作者:

许浒(通信作者),男,博士,副教授,E-mail:xuhu@swjtu.edu.cn。

中图分类号:

TU196

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金(52308330);四川省建筑设计研究院有限公司课题(KYYN202231-F1)


Assessment approach to deterioration of exterior wall tiles based on multiple linear regression model
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Civil Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, P. R. China;2.Southwest Jiaotong University Chengdu Design Institute Co., Ltd., Chengdu 610031, P. R. China;3.Sichuan Architectural Design and Research Institute Co., Ltd., Chengdu 610095, P. R. China

Fund Project:

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 52308330); Research Project of Sichuan Provincial Architectural Design and Research Institute Co., Ltd. (No. KYYN202231-F1)

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    摘要:

    针对建筑面砖外墙劣化导致其脱落风险日益凸显的问题,基于现场调研与多元线性回归模型,提出一种劣化程度快速评估方法,旨在降低既有评估方法的模糊性,提升劣化诊断效率。综合相关研究,分类梳理面砖外墙的劣化类型及其影响因素,并制定劣化定性评估标准;通过实地调研构建面砖外墙劣化图像库,开展分组对比评估。在此基础上,采用多元线性回归方法建立劣化评估模型,模型决定系数R2达82.45%,且各自变量对因变量的影响在统计学上均显著。为进一步规范评估结果,引入价值函数对模型输出结果进行修正,得到归一化劣化程度评估值;结合回归模型、价值函数与劣化程度评级标准,形成一套完整的面砖外墙劣化评估方法。与传统评估方法相比,该方法具有指标全面、简便高效、适用性强等优势。

    Abstract:

    As the risk of falling caused by deterioration of exterior wall tiles has become increasingly prominent, a multiple linear regression model is proposed to rapidly assess the deterioration degree based on field surveys. This method aims to reduce the ambiguity of existing assessment approaches while improving diagnostic efficiency. Firstly, the types of deterioration and their impacts on exterior wall tiles were classified and analyzed according to the available research, and qualitative assessment standards for deterioration were summarized. Then, the image library covering the deterioration of exterior wall tiles was established through surveys, and grouped evaluation of the deterioration based on the proposed standards was conducted. Subsequently, an assessment model for the deterioration was built using a multiple linear regression approach, with a determination coefficient R2 of 82.45%, and the impact of independent variables on dependent variables was statistically significant. To further standardize the assessment results, a value function was introduced to process the model output, obtaining normalized deterioration degree assessment values. Finally, combining the regression model, value function, and rating standards of deterioration degree, a complete set of assessment approaches was formed. Compared with traditional assessment methods, this approach has the advantages of being comprehensive, simple, efficient, and highly applicable.

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杨同越,许浒,赵仕兴,田永丁,龙丹冰,余志祥.基于多元线性回归模型的面砖外墙劣化评估方法[J].土木与环境工程学报(中英文),2026,48(4):134-145. YANG Tongyue, XU Hu, ZHAO Shixing, TIAN Yongding, LONG Danbing, YU Zhixiang. Assessment approach to deterioration of exterior wall tiles based on multiple linear regression model[J]. JOURNAL OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING,2026,48(4):134-145.10.11835/j. issn.2096-6717.2024.056

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-08
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