基于房间空调器使用率与设置温度监控数据的能耗预测模型
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重庆大学

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“十三五”科技部国家重点研发计划,村镇低品位能供暖技术研究


Prediction Model of Energy Consumption Based on the Actual Monitoring Data of Room Air Conditioner (RAC) Usage Rate and Setting Temperature
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Chongqing University

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“十三五”National Key R&D Program of China,Research on low-grade energy heating technology in villages and towns

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    摘要:

    住宅建筑中空调能耗极大程度上受到人员行为的影响。因此对空调能耗进行预测的关键在于准确预测人如何调节空调。以往的研究多通过调研获得人员使用空调的数据,存在样本量少且整体时长较短的问题。虽然ASHRAE以及其他一些导则中有建议的人员在室时刻表用于建筑能耗评估,但人员使用空调行为存在地区差异以及随时间有变化。而本文基于实时监测获得的2016.6.01至2016.8.31的大量数据,以统计的角度,分析夏季卧室与客厅房间空调器能耗的人员行为因素,主要包括房间空调器的设定温度、空调使用率。基于上述统计分析,本文探究了空调使用率与室外日平均温度的关系,结果表明两者呈“L型曲线 ”,说明该部分人群对空调依赖较高,当室外温度处于较低水平时,仍有部分居民使用空调。而后基于空调使用率建立优化的能耗模拟模型,基于设置温度、室外日平均温度、运行时长等建立能耗预测模型。通过验证发现,基于使用率模式为“L型曲线”的能耗模拟模型以及结合设置温度等的能耗预测模型比传统空调使用模式的模拟结果更接近实测值。

    Abstract:

    In residential building, energy consumption of air conditioning is proved to be largely influenced by the behaviors of occupants. Therefore, the key to predicting the energy consumption of Room Air Conditioner (RAC) is to accurately understand how occupants control RAC. The data on the usage of RAC was obtained mostly by investigations in previous studies, resulting in a small sample size and short duration. Although the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) recommends a uniform occupancy schedule, occupants’ behavior patterns vary by region and time. Based on the monitoring data in summer in Chongqing, the significant factors affecting the energy consumption of the RAC are statistically analyzed, which include the setting temperature and the daily usage rate. Further, the behavioral pattern of air conditioning usage is analyzed to investigate the impact of daily mean outdoor temperature in the paper, which meets the "L-curve". The result shows that occupants have a low tolerance to the indoor thermal environment and are likely to use air conditioner even when the outdoor temperature is at a lower level. Then the optimized energy consumption simulation model based on the traditional simulation model and the energy consumption prediction model are proposed to compare with the measured energy consumption. It is proved that the results of the optimized energy consumption simulation model adopted the daily usage rate and the energy consumption prediction model based on the setting temperature, outdoor daily mean temperature, the length of daily operating time turn out to be closer to the measured value than the traditional energy consumption simulation model.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-10-24
  • 最后修改日期:2019-12-25
  • 录用日期:2020-01-15
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