基于云模型和改进CRITIC的深井垂直充填管道磨损风险评估
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TD803

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国家自然科学基金(51804134,51804135);江西省自然科学基金(20181BAB216013);博士启动基金(jxxjbs17011)。


An improved CRITIC and cloud model evaluation method for predicting the wear risk of vertical filling pipes in deep well
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    摘要:

    为准确预测深井垂直充填管道磨损程度,建立了深井垂直充填管道磨损风险评估云模型。以金川龙首矿等国内4家深井矿山为例,选取料浆体积分数等14项因素作为风险评估指标。以指标作为云模型变量,根据云模型理论,选取适当的云模型数字特征;考虑指标之间的相关性以及指标内部变异程度对指标权重的影响,引入改进CRITIC法获取指标权重,计算评估对象隶属于风险等级的综合确定度,得到深井垂直充填管道磨损风险等级。研究结果表明,金川龙首矿、冬瓜山铜矿、孙村煤矿、广西高峰矿业垂直充填管道磨损风险等级分别为Ⅱ级、Ⅲ级、Ⅳ级、Ⅲ级。与其他评估方法进行对比显示,该计算模型将模糊性与随机性转化为确定度这一定量值,实现了定性到定量的映射,为深井垂直充填管道磨损类似问题的研究提供了新方法。

    Abstract:

    To accurately predict wear degree of vertical filling pipe in deep mine, a cloud model has been established to assess the risk envolved. The paper has studied the case of four domestic enterprises, such as Longshou mining in Jinchuan. Fourteen elements, including the slurry volume fraction, were selected as risk assessment indexes. On the basis of to the cloud model theory, variable indicators were used to choose applicable digital characteristics. Taking the correlation between various indicators as well as internal variation of them into account, we introduced the improved CRITIC method to gain the index weight, and the pipeline wear risk grades were obtained by calculating the comprehensive determinacy of evaluation indicators. The results showed that the wear risk grades of vertical filling pipelines in Longshou Mine, Dongguashan Copper Mine, Suncun Mine and Gaofeng Mine in Guangxi were Ⅱ, Ⅲ, Ⅳ and Ⅲ respectively. Compared with other assessment methods, the computational model transforms ambiguity and randomness into a quantitative value of certainty, achieving a qualitative-to-quantitative mapping, providing an innovation for similar research of wear degree of vertical filling pipe in deep mine.

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王石,宋学朋,石海天.基于云模型和改进CRITIC的深井垂直充填管道磨损风险评估[J].重庆大学学报,2020,43(4):73-84.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-05-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-04-21
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