DIRECT METHOD OF PROBABILISTIC PRODUCTION SIMULATION BASED ON MIXTURES OF NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS
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Abstract:
This paper describes a new probabilistic production simulation method based on mixtures of normal distributions. This method does not require to modify the original load,and the relevant formulae are derived directly from the mixture of normal distributions of load and the mixture of normal distributions of system power. Numerical results indicate that this method is accurate and rapid in comparison with the conventional and the cumulant methods.