A method for constructing a high-accuracy prediction model for zirconium alloy fatigue life based on the three-parameter Weibull distribution
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Affiliation:

1.Nuclear Power Institute of China, Chengdu 610213, P. R. China;2.National Key Laboratory of Nuclear Reactor Technology, Chengdu 610213, P. R. China;3.AVIC (Chengdu) UAS Co., Ltd., Chengdu 611743, P. R. China

Clc Number:

TG 146.414;TL 341

Fund Project:

Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province (2023NSFSC0979) and the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFB1902400).

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    Abstract:

    During the operation of nuclear reactors, zirconium alloy claddings are subjected to significant cyclic stresses, necessitating an accurate evaluation of their fatigue properties essential for preventing structural failure. This study proposes a high-accuracy prediction method for the fatigue life of zirconium alloys by employing fatigue test data from alloys subjected to two distinct heat-treatment conditions. A three-parameter Weibull distribution model was established using the probabilistic weighted moments method to construct reliability-stress-number (R-S-N) cycles curves. These curves were rigorously compared and validated against those obtained from the traditional Basquin model. The findings indicate that the R-S-N curves derived from the three-parameter Weibull distribution demonstrate superior fitting accuracy and significantly outperform the conventional model. This advanced modeling approach provides a reliable and effective means for predicting the fatigue behavior of zirconium alloys, offering significant implications for the structural design and safety assessment of nuclear reactors.

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胡述伟,祁童百惠,郭姗,邱玺,尹泓卜,兰峋,高士鑫,辛勇.基于三参数威布尔分布的锆合金疲劳寿命高准确度预测模型构建方法[J].重庆大学学报,2025,48(12):1~11

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History
  • Received:February 12,2024
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: January 12,2026
  • Published:
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