收入差距与人口迁移——人口学视角的城市化动因研究
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国家社会科学基金项目“城镇化失衡发展及应对政策研究”(13BJY051);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目“城乡断裂背景下城镇化失衡发展研究”(13YJC790064)


The income gap and population migration: Research on dynamic mechanism of urbanization based on demographic visual dynamics
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    摘要:

    梳理历史的脉络,人口在区域和城乡间的流动,伴随着经济和社会的双重变革,既是改革进程和工业发展史,也是社会变迁的见证,理解人口迁移的内在需求和迁移规律,对于加快人口城市化进程,实现社会与经济的联动发展意义重大。传统观点认为城市化初期收入差距扩大,随着城市化发展收入差距会缩小。文章运用1978-2009年的省级面板数据对人口迁移进行流量分析,发现城乡收入差距是人口迁移的动力机制和原因,城乡收入差距导致了人口在城乡区域间的单向流动,即贫困地区流向富裕地区,农村流向城市,但随着收入差距的扩大,人口迁移增速趋缓,呈倒U型关系,收入差距的持续扩大将影响城市化进程。从区域看,中西部城乡收入差距对人口迁移的影响显著,而东部地区并不显著,这与中国人口迁移主要由中西部流向东部的事实相吻合。

    Abstract:

    The historical context shows that populations move between regions and between urban and rural areas,causing a double transformation of economies and societies,that is, the history of the reform process and of industrial development is also testimony of social change. If we understand the inherent demand and rule of population migration,we can promote and accelerate the urbanization process and affect the interaction development of the society and economy. The traditional view is that the income gap will narrow with development of urbanization. This paper uses 1978-2009 provincial panel data and analyzes the flow of population migration,showing the dynamic mechanism and the reason ,the income gap between urban and rural areas for population migration . The income gap between urban and rural areas led to the unidirectional flow of population from rural to urban areas. People move from poor areas to rich areas,from rural areas to cities,but the income gap has widened and the growth of population migration is slowing,The inverted U-shaped relation of the income gap and population migration,if the income gap widens more,will affect the urbanization process. Research of regions show,The income gap between urban and rural areas in the middle and western regions has significant effects on population migration. The eastern region is not affected. This finding is a fact of the population migration in China.

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冷智花,付畅俭,许先普.收入差距与人口迁移——人口学视角的城市化动因研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2015,21(6):35-44. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831.2015.06.003

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2015-09-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2015-12-31
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