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城镇企业养老保险对工资的影响机制——基于制造业企业的实证研究
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广东省教育厅项目"产业集聚对企业养老、医疗保险支出的影响机制分析"(2013WYM0013);广州市科信局软科学项目"广州市产业集聚对企业社会保障支出的影响机制"(2014Y4300024);广东省软学科学项目"环境规制对广东省产业转型升级和吸引外资的理论与实证研究:基于企业异质性的视角"(2015A070704047);国家自然科学基金项目"公共项目创新激励机制研究:基于不完全契约动态性的视角"(71302101)


The effect of pension provision on wage: Evidence from Chinese manufacture firms
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    摘要:

    文章采用2002-2007年中国大中型工业企业调查的数据,研究推进养老保险改革对员工工资的影响,即缴存养老保险比例的变化是否对员工的工资存在挤出或替代效应。在通过工具变量克服养老保险的内生性之后,发现员工的名义工资具有刚性,养老保险不能替代名义工资。剔除各地通货膨胀的因素之后,养老保险也不会挤出实际工资。这与西方国家的发现有所不同[1]。文章进一步解释了在中国存在这种关系的主要原因。文章的发现对现行养老保险制度下中国企业的人力资本战略选择和调整有着深刻的意义。

    Abstract:

    Pension reform in China mandates employers to contribute significant amounts to employee pension funds. The implementation of pension reform varies in different regions and different times. This paper tries to estimate the impact of this reform on the wage of employees using the data of medium and large manufacturers in China during 2002 and 2007. After controlling the potential endogenous problems, we find that both the nominal wages and real wages of employees were rigid when pension provision changes. The results are robust to various robustness checks. Therefore, there is no trade-off between wage and pension. These findings are of vital importance in guiding the pension policies.

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吴明琴,童碧如.城镇企业养老保险对工资的影响机制——基于制造业企业的实证研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2016,22(3):29-37. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831.2016.03.005

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  • 收稿日期:2016-03-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-06-17
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