高铁时代广深双城及其与腹地城市联动关系识别的证据
作者:

The evidence of Guangzhou-Shenzhen twin cities and hinterland cities' interactive relationship recognition in the high-speed rail era
Author:
  • 摘要
  • | |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献 [39]
  • |
  • 相似文献 [20]
  • | | |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    得益于两个大局战略推进,地处东部沿海开放前沿地带的广州、深圳双城获得了先发之机。历时30余年,广深两大中心城市地位已经确立,并且在发展中不断得以巩固。不同的是,广州地位之确立是历史的再现,深圳市则是改革与开放政策催生的新兴城市。通过借鉴经典引力模型,结合广深城市体系发展实践,确立珠三角地区的中心城市,甄别联动关系。测算结果发现,虽采取不同算法,城市关系及位序法则却保持着一致性。给定中心城市,也就能够识别腹地城市数和区域范围。实证检验发现:高铁确实产生了珠三角城市间的联动效应,并使广深的辐射能力正在逐步增强,而且强化了普通铁路和高速公路所能够产生的增长驱动力。换言之,广深双城对腹地城市的辐射效应要远大于虹吸效应,整体联动和抱团发展的局面已经打开。当使用铁路列车班次并赋予权重计算的城市联系指数进行再检验,该实证结果仍然稳健。政策含义:充分发挥快速铁路的联动能力,划定中心城市辐射范围,在集聚中走向平衡,重新理清政府和市场的作用与反作用关系。

    Abstract:

    Benefiting from the "two overall strategies" promotion, Guangzhou and Shenzhen which are located at eastern coastal areas of the open frontier have preferential development opportunities.In the past 30 years, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have established their status of center cities.Such status is shored up by their development.What is different is that the establishment of Guangzhou's status is a reoccurrence of history, rather Shenzhen is a newborn city which was based on the reform and opening policy.Through using classical gravity model, combining with Guangzhou-Shenzhen's city system development practice, establishing the center of the city in the Pearl River delta, identifying interactive relationship, measurement results show that algorithm and sequence rule has maintained consistency although using different calculation methods.Given the central city, hinterland cities' number and area are able to be identified.Empirical research found that:High-speed rail, do make the connected effect of the Pearl River delta cities, and the radiation effect of Guangzhou and Shenzhen are gradually strengthen, and to strengthen the ordinary railway and highway's growth driving force.In other words, Guangzhou and Shenzhen's radiation effect on the hinterland cities is greater than the siphon effect, the situation of whole linkage and clannishness development was already open.The results are still robust when using railway trains and giving weight calculation of city link index to test again.Policy implications include:Give full play to the linkage ability of rapid railway and central cities' designated radiation scope, to balance in the cluster, to regroup the relationship between government and market's action and reaction.

    参考文献
    [1] 埃比尼泽·霍华德.明日的田园城市[M].金经元,译.北京:商务印书馆,2000.
    [2] 宋家泰.城市-区域与城市区域调查研究——城市发展的区域经济基础调查研究[J].地理学报,1980,35(4):277-287.
    [3] VIJAY R,KORI C,KUMAR M,et al.Assessment of traffic noise on highway passing from urban agglomeration[J].Fluctuation and Noise Letters, 2014,13(4):1450031,12pages.
    [4] SCOTT A J.Regional motors of the global economy[J].Future, 2001,28(5):391-411.
    [5] RAVIBABU M,SREE V P.Public transport for Indian urban agglomerations:A strong case for surface rail[J].Economic & Political Weekly, 2014,49(23):105-116.
    [6] SUZ Y, WANG Y L,SHI R,et al.Optimal mass transport for shape matching and comparison[J].IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell, 2015,37(11):2246-2259.
    [7] 张浩然,衣保中.基础设施、空间溢出与区域全要素生产率[J].经济学家,2012(2):61-67.
    [8] 国家发改委国地所课题组,肖金成.我国城市群的发展阶段与十大城市群的功能定位[J].改革,2009(9):5-23.
    [9] WEI Z M,ZOU X L,LI M,et al.Research on reliability of urban agglomeration transport system after a disaster[J].Applied Mechanics and Materials, 2014,496/500:2989-2995.
    [10] 汪宇明,刘高,施加仓,蔡萌.中国城乡一体化水平的省区分异[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(4):137-142.
    [11] 姚士谋,朱英明.中国城市群[M].第二版.合肥:中国科学技术大学出版社,2001.
    [12] GOTTMANN J.Megalopolis or the urbanization of the Northeastern Seaboard[J].Economic Geography,1957, 33(7):189-200.
    [13] 袁俊,谭传凤,常旭.城市带及我国沿海城市带的培育[J].经济管理,2007,29(15):85-90.
    [14] Oil Asia Group.First ever installation of deck by float over method in ONGC[J].Oil Asia, 2013, 33(1):1-5.
    [15] 任平,王志良.中国城市带:实践与理论模型研究[J].苏州大学学报(哲学社会科学版),1992(4):23-27.
    [16] 韩会然,焦华富,李俊峰,王荣荣.皖江城市带空间经济联系变化特征的网络分析及机理研究[J].经济地理,2011,31(3):384-389.
    [17] KIM K S.High-speed rail developments and spatial restructuring:A case study of the capital region in South Korea[J].Cities, 2000,17(4):251-262.
    [18] COTO-MILLÁN P, INGLADA V, REY B.Effects of network economies in high-speed rail:The Spanish case[J].Annals of Regional Science,2007,41(4):911-925.
    [19] GIVONI M.Development and impact of the modern high-speed train:A review[J].Transport Reviews,2012,26(5):593-611.
    [20] BERTOLINI L.Nodes and places:Complexities of railway station redevelopment[J].European planning Studies, 2006,4(3):331-345.
    [21] PUGA D.European regional policies in light of recent location theories[J].Journal of economic geography,2002,2(4):373-406.
    [22] CHEN C,HALL P.The impacts of high-speed trains on British economic geography:A study of the UK's inter city 125/225 and its effects[J].Journal of Transport Geography, 2011,19(4):689-704.
    [23] 王姣娥,丁金学.高速铁路对中国城市空间结构的影响研究[J].国际城市规划,2011,26(6):49-54.
    [24] 王姣娥,焦敬娟,金凤君.高速铁路对中国城市空间相互作用强度的影响[J].地理学报,2014,69(12):1833-1846.
    [25] 周靖祥.测度中国高铁的城市吸附能力[N].中国社会科学报,2015-04-13.
    [26] 赵丹,张京祥.高速铁路影响下的长三角城市群通达度空间格局演变[J].长江流域资源与环境,2012,21(4):391-398.
    [27] 张莉,朱长宁,曹莉娜.沪宁城际高速铁路对区域通达度的影响研究[J].铁道运输与经济,2013, 35(1):82-87.
    [28] 姜博,初楠臣,王媛,等.高速铁路影响下的城市可达性测度及其空间格局模拟分析[J].经济地理, 2014, 34(11):58-62.
    [29] 宋文杰,朱青,朱月梅,等.高铁对不同规模城市发展的影响[J].经济地理,2015,35(10):57-63.
    [30] 方大春,孙明月.高铁时代下长三角城市群空间结构重构[J].经济地理, 2015, 35(10):50-56.
    [31] 陈宏胜,杨浩然,王兴平.新常态背景下高铁对我国城市空间的影响及规划应对[C]//新常态:传承与变革-2015中国城市规划年会论文集, 2015, 12(1):1-12.
    [32] REILLY WJ.Methods for the study of retail relationships[J].University of Texas, Bulletin,1929, 48(2944):1-9.
    [33] ZIPF G K.Human behaviour and the principle of least effort:An introduction to human ecology[J].Psychological Bulletin, 1949,47(2):180-183.
    [34] 赵雪雁,侯成成,李建豹,等.甘肃省县域经济增长与空间格局演变探析[J].西北师范大学学报(自然科学版),2011,47(5):104-109.
    [35] 苗长虹,王海江.河南省城市的经济联系方向与强度——兼论中原城市群的形成与对外联系[J].地理研究,2006,25(2):222-232.
    [36] 陆玉麒.双核型空间结构模式的探讨[J].地域研究与开发,1998,17(4):44-48.
    [37] ARELLANO M,BOND S.Some tests of specification for panel data:Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations[J].Review of Economic Studies,1991,58(2):277-297.
    [38] KIVIET J F.On bias, inconsistency,and efficiency of various estimators in dynamic panel data models[J].Journal of Econometrics,1995,68(1):53-78.
    [39] BLUNDELL R,BOND S.Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models[J].Journal of Econometrics,1998, 87(1):115-143.
    引证文献
    网友评论
    网友评论
    分享到微博
    发 布
引用本文

冯其云,周靖祥.高铁时代广深双城及其与腹地城市联动关系识别的证据[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2017,23(2):15-29. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831.2017.02.002

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:1006
  • 下载次数: 1144
  • HTML阅读次数: 560
  • 引用次数: 0
历史
  • 收稿日期:2016-12-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-10
文章二维码