城市蔓延与长江经济带产业升级
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F127

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国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(19FJLB004);沪苏浙皖“长三角高质量一体化发展重大问题研究”专项课题(AHSKC2019D02);安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目(AHSKYG1017D118);安徽财经大学校级重大项目(ACKYA19001);安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金(ACYC2019145)


The spread of cities and the upgrading of the Yangtze Economic Belt Industry
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    摘要:

    长江经济带是我国重要的内河经济带,多年来粗放型经济的发展形成了“重化工围江”的严峻局面,产业升级迫在眉睫。与此同时,以快速城镇化为表象的城市蔓延问题逐渐显露,城市蔓延使得城市空间迅速扩张,产业空间布局也随之发生变化。在此背景下,城市蔓延能否促进产业升级则是一个值得探究的问题。文章首先利用中心外围理论、集聚经济以及分工合作理论阐释了城市蔓延影响产业升级的内在机理,利用城市夜间灯光数据构建城市蔓延指数,基于长江经济带2004-2013年104个城市面板数据进行了实证分析,研究表明,城市蔓延与长江经济带城市产业升级呈“U”型关系,即短期内城市蔓延显著抑制了长江经济带的产业升级,长期中,在规模经济和分工协作效应的带动下,城市蔓延对长江经济带产业升级具有促进作用。城市蔓延对产业结构合理化的影响先正后负,二者存在倒“U”型关系;城市蔓延对产业结构高级化的影响先负后正,二者存在“U”型关系。产业升级其他表征方法的稳健性检验进一步表明,城市蔓延与产业升级间存在“U”型关系。最后,文章从优化产业布局、提高人力资本质量、技术创新等角度提出促进产业升级的相关政策建议。

    Abstract:

    The Yangtze River Economic Belt is an important inland river economic belt in China, and the development of extensive economy has formed the severe situation of "heavy chemical industry encircling the river" for many years, and the industrial upgrading is imminent. At the same time, the problem of urban spread with the appearance of rapid urbanization is gradually exposed, the urban spread makes the urban space expands rapidly, and the industrial space layout also changes. Whether urban spread can promote industrial upgrading is a question worth exploring. Firstly, this paper explains the internal mechanism of urban sprawl affecting industrial upgrading by using the theory of central periphery, agglomeration economy and division of labor and cooperation, and constructs the indexes of urban spread by using urban night lighting data. Based on the panel data of 104 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2004 to 2013, the study shows that the urban spread and the industrial upgrading of the Yangtze River Economic Belt show a "U-shaped" relationship, that is, in the short term, the urban spread significantly restricts the industrial upgrading of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. In the long run, driven by the effect of scale economy and division of labor and cooperation, urban spread plays an important role in promoting the industrial upgrading of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The influence of urban spread on the rationalization of industrial structure is positive first and then negative, there is an inverted "U-shaped" relationship between the two, and the influence of urban spread on the upgrading of industrial structure is negative first and then positive, and there is a "U-shaped" relationship between the two. The robustness test of other characterization methods of upgrading further shows that there is a "U-shaped" relationship between urban spread and industrial upgrading. Finally, this paper proposes some policy suggestions to promote industrial upgrading from the perspective of optimizing industrial layout, improving the quality of human capital, technological innovation and so on.

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李强,王琰.城市蔓延与长江经济带产业升级[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2021,27(1):39-49. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2020.05.004

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  • 最后修改日期:2020-04-20
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-02-01
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