长江经济带高铁开通对第三产业集聚影响研究
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F532.3;F062.9;F061.5

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国家社会科学基金项目"'双转移’视角下中西部城市新区产业集聚与新型城镇化互动发展研究"(14CJY021)


The impact of the opening of high-speed rail on the agglomeration of tertiary industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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    摘要:

    高铁建设是中国交通基础设施建设史上具有标志性的重大事件,对区域要素流动、经济活动开展和产业空间格局构建影响深远。深入考察高铁开通与产业集聚的关系,对合理规划高铁建设和促进高质量发展意义重大。文章探讨了高铁开通引致第三产业集聚的空间溢出效应及其机制;立足高铁的时空效应,重点考察劳动力流动引致的知识溢出等效应对第三产业集聚的影响机理。通过构建空间双重差分模型,采用2007—2018年长江经济带108个地级市城市面板数据,实证检验长江经济带高铁开通对第三产业集聚的影响;不仅以空间滞后项的系数判断是否存在空间溢出效应,还以间接效应衡量空间溢出效应的程度。考虑长江经济带高铁网络布局不平衡、经济发展存在差距、资源禀赋不同的城市高铁开通后引起的效应可能有所区别,分区域及细分行业研究高铁开通对第三产业集聚影响的异质性;并进一步从劳动力转移视角实证检验高铁开通对第三产业影响的传导机制。研究表明:高铁开通不仅对长江经济带沿线城市第三产业集聚有显著的正向影响,其所引致的空间溢出效应亦明显促进了相邻城市的产业集聚。异质性检验结果表明,高铁开通对长江经济带东部城市第三产业集聚水平的正向作用高于中部城市,对西部城市第三产业集聚并无明显影响;高铁开通对不同细分行业作用效果差异明显,对批发零售、公共管理、社会保障和社会组织及教育等行业集聚水平作用大。影响机制检验表明,高铁开通拓展了劳动力自由流动范围,劳动力流动带来的知识溢出影响第三产业集聚;劳动力转移也是高铁开通影响长江经济带中部城市第三产业集聚的重要传导机制。因此,未开通高铁城市应加快推进高铁网络建设,优化产业空间格局;中、东部地区应加大第三产业中高端产业的承接力度,促使产业升级;西部地区应充分发挥高铁对劳动力要素的空间重构效应,警惕东中西部地区差距扩大。文章将空间溢出效应引入双重差分模型,判断高铁引致的第三产业集聚的空间溢出效应是否存在以及存在的程度;基于"时空压缩"效应下劳动力流动视角考察"虹吸效应"和"辐射效应"双重影响下的异质性,丰富了高铁建设对第三产业集聚影响的理论研究,对高铁建设规划与第三产业布局协同联动具有重要参考意义。

    Abstract:

    The high-speed railway expansion is a landmark and significant event in the history of China’s transportation infrastructure construction, which has profound impact on regional factor flow, economic activities and industrial spatial pattern. It is significant to probethe relationship between the opening of high-speed rail(HSR) and industrial agglomeration for the appropriateplanning of HSR infrastructureand promoting high-quality development. The article explores the spatial spillover effects and mechanisms of tertiary industry agglomeration caused by the opening of HSR, and focuses on the mechanism of the effect of knowledge spillover resulting from labor mobility on tertiary industry agglomeration based on the space-time effect of HSR. By constructing a Spatial Difference-In-Difference Model (SDID) and using the panel data of 108 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB) from 2007-2018, thepaper empirically evaluates the impact of the opening of HSR on tertiary industry agglomeration in the YREB. Further, not only the coefficient of the spatial lag term is used to judge the existence of spatial spillover effect, but also the indirect effect to measure the extent of the spatial spillover effect. Since the uneven distribution of HSR network, the disparity in economic development, and the potential differences in the effects ofthe opening of HSR in cities with different resource endowments in YREB, this paper examines the heterogeneity of the impact of HSR on the tertiary industry agglomeration by region and sub-sector as well as empirically testing the transmission mechanism of the impact of HSR on the tertiary industry from the perspective of labor transfer. The study results show that:1)HSR not only has a noticeable positive effect on tertiary industry agglomeration in cities along the YREB, but also its spatial spillover effect obviously facilitates industrial agglomeration in neighboring cities. 2)Heterogeneity test indicates that the positive effect of HSR on the level of tertiary industry agglomeration in eastern cities is higher than that of in central cities, while there is no distinct effect on tertiary industry agglomeration in western cities of YREB. In addition, the effect of HSR on different sectors varies significantly, especially on the agglomeration levels of wholesale and retail, public administration, social security and social organizations, and education.3)The test of influence mechanism suggests that the HSR expands the scope of free labor mobility resulting in knowledge spillover which brings about tertiary industry agglomeration, and that labor transfer is also an important transmission mechanism of the effect of HSR on tertiary industry agglomeration in central cities. Therefore, cities without HSR should accelerate the construction of HSR network and optimize the industrial spatial pattern; central and eastern regions should increase the undertaking of medium to high-end industries in the tertiary industry to prompt industrial upgrading; as well as western regions should give full play to the spatial reconfiguration effect of HSR on labor factors to prevent widening gap between regions. This paper introduces the spatial spillover effect into the SDID to determine whether and to what extent the spatial spillover effect of tertiary industry agglomeration caused by HSR is present. Besides, the heterogeneity under the dual influence of "siphon effect" and "radiation effect" is examined from the perspective of labor mobilityunder the "space-time compression" effect. This enriches the theoretical research on the impact of HSR construction on the tertiary industry agglomeration and provides an important reference for the synergy between HSR construction planning and tertiary industry clustering.

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谭志雄,邱云淑,罗佳惠,韩经纬,陈思盈.长江经济带高铁开通对第三产业集聚影响研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2023,(1):38-55. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2022.03.005

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-28
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