成渝城市群城市韧性时空格局演变及障碍因子识别
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C912.81

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Spatiotemporal revolution and obstacles identification of urban resilience in Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration
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    摘要:

    成渝城市群作为引领西部开发开放的重要经济增长极,提升其城市韧性水平对带动西部地区高质量发展和促进我国区域协调发展具有重要意义。目前学界关于"城市群城市韧性"的研究,在研究深度上仍停留在韧性评价、时空特征分析上,对城市韧性的障碍因子的分析较少;从研究区域来看,目前的研究主要集中在东部沿海发达城市群,如长三角、珠三角等,缺乏对西部城市群城市韧性的针对性研究;在评价指标选取上,已有研究主要涉及经济、生态、社会、基础设施、制度等维度,对"人"这一承灾体在城市韧性中的影响和作用不够重视,作为城市的承灾体——人的因素没有被纳入城市韧性研究中。人既是致灾因子,也是承灾体,人口要素对城市韧性具有重要的影响和作用。因此,文章基于"经济—社会—生态—基建—人口"五维评估框架选取26个指标构建评价指标体系,运用熵权—TOPSIS评价模型和障碍度模型,分析2010—2019年成渝城市群城市韧性时空格局演变特征,并对其障碍因子进行诊断和识别。研究结果显示:从时空格局演变规律来看,成渝城市群城市韧性水平呈逐渐上升态势且空间差异逐渐缩小;但城市韧性整体水平较低,较低韧性和低韧性城市数量多、分布广,在空间上呈现出"西北和东南高,东北和西南低"的分布格局;从障碍因子识别结果来看,制约成渝城市群整体及其内部各城市的城市韧性提升的障碍因子主要集中于社会韧性和基础设施韧性两个子系统,主要涉及医疗保险覆盖率、普通本(专)科学校在校学生数比重、卫生机构数、每万人拥有公共交通车辆数、建成区排水管道密度和人口密度等障碍因子。基于以上结论,文章认为提升成渝城市群城市韧性要促进区域韧性均衡发展、因地制宜制定城市韧性提升政策和措施,例如提高区域内基础设施互联互通程度,健全城市化协同发展机制,提升成渝城市群整体韧性;统筹安排各种资源,重点支持东北和西南区域发展,避免资源过度集中,共享发展和建设机会;因地制宜制定城市韧性提升政策和措施。

    Abstract:

    Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration is an important economic growth pole leading the development and opening up of the western region. It is of great significance to improve its level of urban resilience for promoting the high-quality development of the western region and the coordinated regional development of China. Based on the five-dimensional evaluation framework of "economy-society-ecology-infrastructure-population", this paper selects 26 indicators to construct an evaluation index system. By using the entropy-weight-TOPSIS evaluation model and obstacle degree model, the paper analyzes and identifies the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of urban resilience and its obstacle factors in Cheng-Chongqing urban agglomeration from 2010 to 2019. The results show that:1) From the perspective of spatial and temporal pattern evolution, the urban resilience of Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration is gradually increasing and the spatial differences are gradually decreasing; the overall level of urban resilience is low, and the number of cities with low resilience and lower resilience are large and widely distributed, showing a spatial distribution pattern of "high in northwest and southeast, low in central and western regions". 2) According to the identification results of obstacle factors, the obstacles to the improvement of urban resilience of Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration as a whole and its cities mainly focus on the subsystems of social resilience and infrastructure resilience. The main factors involved were medical insurance coverage, the proportion of students in ordinary (specialized) science schools, the number of health institutions, the number of public transport vehicles per 10 000 people, the density of drainage pipes and population density in built-up areas.

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王彩丽,闫绪娴.成渝城市群城市韧性时空格局演变及障碍因子识别[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2023,(3):21-33. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2023.03.001

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-07-13
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