自由贸易试验区建设、人力资本结构优化与出口产业升级
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中图分类号:

F741

基金项目:

四川省科技计划资助项目"新形势下四川自由贸易试验区高质量发展研究"(2022JDR0119);教育部人文社科规划青年项目"人民币跨境金融交易的机理及路径研究"(18YJC790022);国家自然科学基金青年项目"人民币跨境结算的制度约束、交易者认知偏差及贸易效应研究"(71903161)


Construction of free trade pilot zone, optimization of human capital structure and upgrading of export industry
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    摘要:

    作为新时代深化改革开放的重要试验平台,自由贸易试验区能否有效促进出口产业升级,成为推进自贸试验区高质量发展和出口产业转型升级的一项重要议题。作者基于2007—2018年中国285个地级市面板数据,以自由贸易试验区建设为准自然实验,采用双重差分法评估自由贸易试验区建设对中国出口产业升级的影响,旨在考察自由贸易试验区建设能否通过人力资本结构优化有效推动出口产业升级,同时考虑技术水平、地理分布、"市—片区"布点、设立批次等城市异质性。研究结论表明:自由贸易试验区建设有效推动了中国出口产业升级,在开展严格的识别假设条件和稳健性检验后,实证结果仍然是稳健的;从影响机制看,自由贸易试验区通过人力资本结构优化推动出口产业升级;从城市异质性看,对于拥有高技术水平、地处东部地区以及"一市多片区"以及"长周期"的城市,其自由贸易试验区建设对出口产业升级的促进效应更强。文章的贡献主要体现在以下几个方面:在研究层次上,已有关于自由贸易试验区建设与产业结构升级之间关系的研究均停留在省级层面,忽略了城市在产业结构升级方面的异质性,而文章作者基于地级市面板数据,更为深入地考察自由贸易试验区建设对出口产业升级的影响,从高低技术水平、东西部区域、"市—片区"布点以及设立批次等层面尽可能把握自由贸易试验区建设影响出口产业升级的异质性特征,为国家制定相关的差异化政策提供依据。在研究方法上,采用双重差分法识别自由贸易试验区建设与出口产业升级之间的关系,并将自贸试验区选址随机性等因素纳入识别条件中,能够较好地解决研究中可能存在的内生性问题。在作用机制上,从人力资本结构视角考察自由贸易试验区建设影响出口产业升级的中介效应,力求扩展自由贸易试验区的机制研究。此外,作者还从劳动技能水平角度捕捉人力资本结构优化,有助于全面理解人力资本结构优化对出口产业升级的影响。文章的结论为贯彻落实自贸试验区提升战略,进一步发挥自贸试验区作用,优化人力资本结构,促进出口产业转型升级,提供了经验证据和决策参考。

    Abstract:

    As an important experimental platform for deepening reform and opening up in the new era, whether the free trade pilot zone can effectively promote the upgrading of export industries has an important impact on the high-quality development of China's trade. Therefore, the authors aim to explore whether the construction of the free trade pilot zone can effectively promote the upgrading of the export industry through the optimization of the human capital structure, and whether there are differences in the effects of the construction of the free trade pilot zone in terms of the technical level, the regional distribution of the eastern and western regions, the "city-district" distribution form and the establishment of different batches of free trade pilot zones. The authors take the construction of free trade pilot zone as a quasi-natural experiment, and use the double difference method to evaluate the impact of the construction of free trade pilot zone on the upgrading of China's export industry. The conclusions are as follows: 1) The construction of the free trade pilot zone has effectively promoted the upgrading of China's export industry, and the empirical results are still stable after carrying out strict identification assumptions and robustness tests. 2) From the perspective of impact mechanism, the free trade pilot zone promotes the upgrading of export industry through the optimization of human capital structure. 3) From the perspective of urban heterogeneity, cities with high technological level, the eastern region, "one city with multiple districts" and "long cycle" free trade pilot zones are more likely to promote the upgrading of export industries. The contribution of the article mainly includes the following aspects: At the research level, the existing research on the relationship between the free trade pilot zone and the upgrading of industrial structure has remained at the provincial level, ignoring the heterogeneity of cities in the upgrading of industrial structure. This paper, based on the panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2018, has more accurately and directly examined the impact of the free trade pilot zone on the upgrading of export industries. We should grasp the heterogeneity characteristics of the impact of the construction of free trade pilot zones on the upgrading of China's export industries as far as possible from the aspects of high and low technical level, regional characteristics of the east and the west, the form of "city-district" distribution and the establishment batch, and provide the basis for the country to formulate relevant differentiation policies. In terms of research methods, the dual difference method is used to identify the relationship between the free trade pilot zone and the upgrading of export industries, and factors such as the randomness of the location of the free trade pilot zone are included in the identification conditions, which can better solve the endogenous problems that may exist in the study. In terms of mechanism, the intermediary variables that affect the upgrading of export industries in the free trade pilot zone are examined from the perspective of human capital structure, and the mechanism research of the existing free trade pilot zone is expanded. In addition, it also captures the optimization of human capital structure from the perspective of labor skill level, which helps to fully understand the impact mechanism of the optimization of human capital structure to promote the upgrading of export industries. The conclusion of the article provides empirical evidence for the free trade pilot zone to further optimize the human capital structure and for China's industrial transformation and upgrading.

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沈和斌,邓富华.自由贸易试验区建设、人力资本结构优化与出口产业升级[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2023,29(4):1-16. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2023.06.001

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