新质生产力与城市经济韧性:理论逻辑与经验证据
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F299.2

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国家社会科学基金项目"乡村振兴背景下城乡收入差距的空间异质性研究"(20BJL146)


New quality productivity and urban economic resilience: Theoretical logic and empirical evidence
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    摘要:

    现代城市在规模和功能上不断扩展,但同时其自身存在的脆弱性也不断暴露在人们的视野之中,自然事件和突发的社会热点都可能成为城市兴衰起落的契机,进而影响城市发展活力。如何增强城市抵御风险和稳定发展的能力成为实现经济高质量发展亟待解决的问题。新质生产力的涌现将深刻改变城市经济所面临的环境和条件,推动城市经济运行和发展模式的深度变革,并对城市新业态的培育和产业发展产生重要影响。文章基于2010—2021年全国230个城市的面板数据,围绕劳动者、劳动资料和劳动对象生产力三大构成要素构建新质生产力综合评价指标体系,采用固定效应模型系统考察新质生产力对城市经济韧性的影响效应。研究发现,首先,新质生产力能有效提升城市经济韧性,该结论经内生性处理、替换变量、剔除样本及控制交互效应等稳健性检验后依旧成立。其次,新质生产力通过产业结构升级效应、人才聚集效应及技术创新效应内在路径进而影响城市经济韧性。最后,新质生产力对城市经济韧性影响存在资源禀赋、政府参与及行政等级方面的异质性,且对非资源型、高政府参与度及高行政等级城市表现更为明显。研究结论在理论上为提升城市经济韧性路径探索提供了全新视角,在实践上为加快发展新质生产力提供了经验证据。文章的特色与创新主要体现在:其一,以新质生产力为切入点,创新性地探讨了新质生产力对城市经济韧性的影响效应,为深入理解与评估新质生产力引致的经济效应提供了新思路,丰富并拓展了新质生产力在城市经济韧性领域的学术探讨,为持续推进新质生产力和增强城市经济韧性新路径探索提供有益政策启示。其二,揭示并阐明了新质生产力与城市经济韧性的内在影响机理,从产业结构升级效应、人才聚集效应及技术创新效应角度评估了新质生产力增强城市经济韧性的作用机制,拓展了城市经济韧性"理论黑箱"的研究边界。同时,还从资源禀赋、政府参与及行政等级视角探究了新质生产力对城市经济韧性的异质性影响,相应的研究结论有助于形成更加具体的政策靶向,对于加速新质生产力的发展及提升城市经济韧性具有重要的实践指导意义。

    Abstract:

    Modern cities continue to expand in scale and function, but at the same time their own vulnerability is constantly exposed. Natural events and sudden social hot issues may become the opportunity for the rise and fall of cities, and then affect the vitality of urban development. How to enhance the city’s ability to resist risks and develop stably has become an urgent problem to achieve high-quality economic development. The emergence of new quality productivity will profoundly change the environment and conditions faced by urban economy, promote the deep reform of urban economic operation and development mode, and have an important impact on the cultivation of new urban business forms and industrial development. Based on the panel data of 230 cities in China from 2010 to 2021, this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system of new quality productivity around the three components of productivity: labor, labor material and labor object, and adopts a fixed effect model to systematically investigate the impact of new quality productivity on urban economic resilience. It is found that, first of all, new quality productivity can effectively improve the resilience of urban economy, and this conclusion is still valid after the robustness test of endogenous processing, replacement variables, sample elimination and control of interaction effects. Secondly, new quality productivity affects the resilience of urban economy through the internal path of industrial structure upgrading effect, talent aggregation effect and technological innovation effect. Finally, the impact of new quality productivity on urban economic resilience is heterogeneous in terms of resource endowment, government participation and administrative level, and it is more obvious for non-resource-based cities with high government participation and high administrative level. The research conclusions provide a new perspective for exploring ways to improve urban economic resilience in theory, and provide empirical evidence for accelerating the development of new quality productivity in practice. The features and innovations of the article are mainly reflected in: First, taking new quality productivity as the starting point, this paper innovates into the impact of new quality productivity on urban economic resilience, providing new ideas for in-depth understanding and evaluation of economic effects caused by new quality productivity, and enriching and expanding academic discussions on new quality productivity in the field of urban economic resilience. It provides useful policy inspiration for exploring new ways to continuously promote new quality productivity and enhance urban economic resilience. Second, it reveals and elucidates the internal influence mechanism of new quality productivity and urban economic resilience, evaluates the action mechanism of new quality productivity to enhance urban economic resilience from the perspective of industrial structure upgrading effect, talent aggregation effect and technological innovation effect, and expands the research boundary of theoretical black box of urban economic resilience. At the same time, the heterogeneous effects of new quality productivity on urban economic resilience are also explored from the perspective of resource endowment, government participation and administrative level. Accordingly, the research conclusions help to form more specific policy targets, and have important practical guiding significance for accelerating the development of new quality productivity and improving urban economic resilience

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石玉堂,王晓丹,陈凯旋.新质生产力与城市经济韧性:理论逻辑与经验证据[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2024,30(5):29-45. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2024.06.003

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-12
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