数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响及路径研究
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作者单位:

1. 常州大学 吴敬琏经济学院,江苏 常州 213159;2. 南京农业大学 经济管理学院,江苏 南京 210095;3. 江苏省社会科学院 农村发展研究所,江苏 南京 210004

作者简介:

通讯作者:

张良(通信作者),江苏省社会科学院农村发展研究所,Email:jsasszl@126.com。

中图分类号:

F323

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目“共同富裕目标下数字乡村建设纾解农户相对贫困:机制、效果评价与实践探索”(72273065);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目“数字素养对农村居民收入不平等的影响及路径研究”(024SJYB0927)


Research on the impact and path of digital economy on urban-rural integrated development
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Affiliation:

1. Wu Jinglian School of Economics, Changzhou University, Changzhou213159, P. R. China;2. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing210095, P. R. China;3. Institute of Rural Development, Jiangsu Academy of Social Sciences, Nanjing210004, P. R. China

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    摘要:

    党的二十届三中全会指出城乡融合发展是中国式现代化的必然要求。促进城乡融合发展是推进乡村全面振兴的重要内容,同时也是建设全国统一大市场的重要路径。城乡融合发展需要破除一系列的制度壁垒,推进城乡要素的有序流动,而数字经济的快速崛起与繁荣为城乡融合发展提供了新机遇。文章分析了城乡融合发展过程中数字经济的作用效果,并聚焦于产业结构升级、市场化进程和基本公共服务均等化,通过数理分析厘清其内在的作用机制,丰富了现有的研究并提供了经验证据。首先,文章基于2011—2020年中国省际面板数据,构建了相关指标评价体系,使用熵值法测度了省域数字经济和城乡融合发展水平,并使用Kernel核密度估计方法探究了其时空演变特征。结果显示,总体上数字经济与城乡融合发展水平呈现出不断上升的趋势,但在发展程度和发展速度上表现出区域间不平衡的特征,数字经济水平在区域间成多极化趋势,而城乡融合发展的区域间梯度效应不断增强。其次,文章通过实证方法检验数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响,并对数字经济影响城乡融合发展的路径进行了探究。结果显示:第一,数字经济可以显著促进城乡融合发展,但影响程度存在区域异质性,数字经济对西部地区城乡融合发展的影响要高于其他地区,对东北地区无显著影响;第二,数字经济可以通过促进产业结构升级、推进市场化进程以及促进基本公共服务均等化而影响城乡融合发展水平。最后,文章分析了数字经济对城乡融合发展的空间效应,使用全局Moran's I指数基于经济距离矩阵下的空间相关性检验结果显示,数字经济与城乡融合发展具有显著空间相关性,而基于邻接矩阵、反距离矩阵以及经济距离矩阵的空间溢出效应检验结果显示,数字经济水平的提升对本地城乡融合具有正向影响,但对邻近地区会产生负向溢出效应。研究认为,为有效发挥数字经济对城乡融合发展的促进作用,应在制定区域差异化的数字经济与城乡发展政策、加快数字基础设施的建设、打破要素壁垒推进城乡要素的有序流动、优化数字经济资源配置等方面实施相关政策措施。

    Abstract:

    The third plenary session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China points out that the integrated development of urban and rural areas is an inevitable requirement of Chinese path to modernization. Promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas is an important element of promoting all-around rural revitalization, and it is also an important path to building a unified national market. The integrated development of urban and rural areas requires breaking down a series of institutional barriers and promoting the orderly flow of urban and rural factors. The rapid rise and prosperity of the digital economy provide new opportunities for the integrated development of urban and rural areas. Exploring the impact of digital economy on the integrated development of urban and rural areas has important theoretical and practical significance. This article focuses on the upgrading of industrial structure, marketization process, and equalization of basic public services. Through mathematical analysis, it clarifies their inherent mechanisms, enriches existing research, and provides empirical evidence. Firstly, based on China's inter-provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020, the article constructs an evaluation system of relevant indicators, measures the development level of provincial digital economy and urban-rural integrated using the entropy method, and explores its spatiotemporal evolution characteristics using Kernel density estimation method. The results show that in general, the level of digital economy and urban-rural integrated development is showing a continuous upward trend, but there is a regional imbalance in the degree and speed of development. The level of digital economy is showing a multipolar trend among regions, while the gradient effect of urban-rural integrated development between regions continues to strengthen. Secondly, the article uses empirical methods to examine the impact of digital economy on the integrated development of urban and rural areas, and explores the path of the impact. Results show that, firstly, digital economy can significantly promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas, but the degree of impact varies regionally. The impact of digital economy on the integrated development of urban and rural areas in the western region is higher than that in other regions, and has no significant impact on the northeast region. Secondly, digital economy can affect the level of urban-rural integrated development by promoting industrial structure upgrading, advancing marketization processes, and promoting equalization of basic public services. Finally, the article analyzes the spatial effects of digital economy on urban-rural integrated development. Using the global Moran's I index, the spatial correlation test results based on the economic distance matrix show that there is a significant spatial correlation between digital economy and the integrated development of urban and rural areas. The spatial spillover effect test results based on adjacency matrix, inverse distance matrix, and economic distance matrix show that the improvement of digital economy level has a positive impact on local urban-rural integration, but has a negative spillover effect on neighboring areas. Research suggests that in order to effectively leverage the role of digital economy in promoting urban-rural integration, relevant policy measures should be implemented in areas such as formulating differentiated digital economy and urban-rural development policies, accelerating the construction of digital infrastructure, breaking down factor barriers to promote orderly flow of urban-rural factors, and optimizing the allocation of digital economic resources.

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李成龙,周宏,张良.数字经济对城乡融合发展的影响及路径研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2025,(1):17-34. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2024.09.009

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-03-25
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