外商直接投资对城市收缩的影响研究——基于长江经济带整合夜间灯光数据的实证分析
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a. 重庆大学 公共管理学院,重庆 400044;b. 重庆大学 可持续发展研究院,重庆 400044;c. 重庆大学 经济与工商管理学院,重庆 400044

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F061.3

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重庆市社会科学规划项目“重庆打造美丽中国建设示范区路径探索与政策引领研究”(2024ZXZD24)


The impact of foreign direct investment on urban shrinkage: An empirical analysis based on integrated nighttime lighting data from the Yangtze River Economic Belt
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a. School of Public Administration Chongqing University, Chongqing400044, P. R. China;b. Institute for Sustainable Development Chongqing University, Chongqing400044, P. R. China;c. School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing400044, P. R. China

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    摘要:

    城市是推动高质量发展、创造高品质生活、全面建设社会主义现代化国家的重要载体。探讨外商直接投资对城市收缩的作用机制及实际效应对长江经济带城市高质量发展意义重大。此研究在对DMSP/OLS与NPP/VIIRS夜间灯光数据进行基本处理后,采用不具有截距项的“S”型模型拟合形成长江经济带105个地级及以上城市2005—2019年整合夜间灯光时间序列数据,并通过收缩像素提取开展城市收缩测度;基于空间溢出视角,借助空间杜宾模型(SDM)实证检验外商直接投资对城市收缩的影响,开展稳健性、异质性相关讨论,并构建非线性模型从“劳动收入”与“环境质量”两条路径探讨外商直接投资对城市收缩的作用机理。研究发现:外商直接投资对城市收缩存在倒“U”型关系且具有显著的空间溢出效应,主要通过“知识溢出效应”与“竞争模仿效应”形成,空间溢出效应甚至超过了直接效应;东部和西部地区城市外商直接投资对城市收缩均存在显著的倒“U”型关系,但中部地区的城市不显著,中东西三大板块各具优势,但要素资源流动性不强;非资源型城市外商直接投资对城市收缩的作用效果显著,资源型城市不明显;外商直接投资通过就业吸纳效应、环境污染效应等途径影响城市收缩。基于此,研究提出以下政策建议:关注城市收缩本质,转变城市收缩传统价值误区认识。倡导“精明收缩”理念,在保持城市基本活力的同时,合理调整城市规模与功能布局。针对长江经济带区域异质性,实行差异化外资引入策略。东部地区进一步优化外资吸引政策,推动高技术、高附加值产业的引进;而西部与中部地区则应注重外资对本地产业升级和就业吸纳的促进作用,同时避免过度依赖外资带来的环境污染与资源竞争。建立协调发展机制,促进开发开放平台协同发展,促进长江经济带内外资导向和城市发展目标协同。研究对长江经济带正视“精明收缩”问题,构建具有包容性、韧性和适应性的城市发展模式具有借鉴参考价值。

    Abstract:

    Cities serve as critical carriers for driving high-quality development, creating high-quality life, and comprehensively building the socialist modernized country. Exploring the mechanisms and actual effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on urban shrinkage holds significant implications for urban development in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. After preprocessing DMSP/OLS and NPP/VIIRS nighttime lighting data, this study adopts an intercept-free “S-shaped” model to fit the integrated nighttime lighting time-series data of 105 prefectural-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2005 to 2019. Urban shrinkage is measured through the extraction of shrinking pixels. This study primarily adopts a spatial spillover perspective to empirically test the impact of FDI on urban shrinkage using the spatial Durbin model (SDM), followed by robustness checks, heterogeneity discussions, and the construction of a non-linear model to explore the mechanism of FDI on urban shrinkage through the pathways of labor income and environmental quality. The study has found that: 1) There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between FDI and urban shrinkage and the model exhibits significant spatial spillover effect, primarily driven by knowledge spillover effect and competitive imitation effect. The spatial spillovers even surpass direct effects. 2) In both eastern and western regions, FDI shows a significant inverted U-shaped relationship with urban shrinkage, whereas the relationship is insignificant in central regions. While the three regions (eastern, central, and western) possess unique strengths, resource mobility across regions remains limited. 3) The effect of FDI on urban shrinkage is significant in non-resource-based cities but negligible in resource-based cities. 4) FDI affects urban shrinkage through the employment absorption effect and the environmental pollution effect. Based on these findings, the study puts forward the following policy recommendations: 1) Pay attention to the essence of urban shrinkage and reframe traditional misconceptions. Advocate for a smart shrinkage approach that adjusts urban scale and functional layout, while maintaining fundamental vitality. 2) In light of the regional heterogeneity of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, implement differentiated foreign investment introduction strategies. The eastern region should further optimize its foreign investment attraction policy and promote the introduction of high-tech and high-value-added industries. In contrast, the western and central regions should prioritize foreign investment on local industrial upgrading and employment absorption, while mitigating environmental pollution and resource competition risks associated with excessive reliance on foreign investment. 3) Establish a coordinated development mechanism to promote the synergistic development of opening-up platforms, and promote the synergistic orientation of domestic and foreign investment and urban development goals in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The study offers valuable insights into addressing the problem of smart shrinkage in the Yangtze River Economic Belt to build an inclusive, resilient and adaptable urban development model.

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谭志雄,向斯曼,韩经纬,陈思盈.外商直接投资对城市收缩的影响研究——基于长江经济带整合夜间灯光数据的实证分析[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2025,31(2):85-101. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2025.02.004

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-05-29
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