中国式现代化水平测度、区域差异及动态演进——学习贯彻党的二十届三中全会精神
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作者单位:

1.重庆工商大学,成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院,重庆 400067;2.重庆工商大学,经济学院,重庆 400067

作者简介:

熊兴,博士后,重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院、经济学院副教授,Email: 376648039@qq.com;
余兴厚,重庆工商大学成渝地区双城经济圈建设研究院、经济学院教授,博士研究生导师。

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中图分类号:

F124;D61

基金项目:

重庆市教委人文社会科学研究项目“党的二十届三中全会精神研究阐释专项课题”(24SKCS)


Measurement, regional differences, and dynamic evolution of Chinese-style modernization:Studying and implementing the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China
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Affiliation:

1.Institute for Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Zone Development, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, P. R. China;2.School of Economics, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, P. R. China

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    摘要:

    党的二十届三中全会强调,当前和今后一个时期是以中国式现代化全面推进强国建设、民族复兴伟业的关键时期。那么,准确把握中国式现代化的现实基础与演进趋势,对于推进中国式现代化具有重大而迫切的理论和现实意义。为此,根据党的二十大精神从人口现代化、生态文明现代化、经济现代化、精神文明现代化和对外开放现代化五个维度构建了中国式现代化的评价指标体系,综合运用熵权TOPSIS、Dugam基尼系数和Kernel密度法对2013—2022年我国省级层面的现代化水平和区域特征进行了测度分析,并探析其区域异质性及演进趋势。研究发现:我国现代化水平呈现出稳定增长的态势,但整体现代化水平尚存较大的提升空间。从细分维度观察,人口现代化、生态文明现代化以及经济现代化领域取得了显著成就,彰显了我国在人口结构优化、生态环境保护与经济发展方面的积极成效。相比之下,精神文明现代化与对外开放现代化的步伐稍显滞后,成为当前现代化进程中亟待加强的薄弱环节。此外,在空间格局上还显著体现出区域间的不均衡性,呈现出鲜明的“东高西低”特征,这种区域差异不仅加剧了发展水平的极化现象,也对全国范围内的协调发展提出了更为迫切的要求。未来需精准施策,促进均衡发展,推动全面建成社会主义现代化强国。

    Abstract:

    The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized that the current and upcoming period is a critical phase for comprehensively advancing the great endeavor of building a strong nation and achieving national rejuvenation through Chinese-style modernization. Accurately understanding the practical foundation and evolving trends of Chinese-style modernization is of significant and urgent theoretical and practical importance for its advancement. Therefore, based on the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, an evaluation index system for Chinese-style modernization has been constructed from five dimensions: population modernization, ecological civilization modernization, economic modernization, cultural modernization, and modernization of opening-up. By comprehensively applying the entropy weight TOPSIS method, the Dugam Gini coefficient, and the Kernel density estimation, we have measured and analyzed the level of modernization and regional characteristics at the provincial level in China from 2013 to 2022, and explored the regional heterogeneity and evolution trends.The study finds that the level of modernization in China showed a stable growth trend from 2013 to 2022, but the overall level of modernization still has considerable room for improvement. From a detailed perspective, significant achievements have been made in the fields of population modernization, ecological civilization modernization, and economic modernization, highlighting positive results in optimizing population structure, protecting the ecological environment, and developing the economy. In contrast, the progress in cultural modernization and modernization of opening-up has been relatively slower, becoming weak links that need to be strengthened in the current modernization process.Moreover, the spatial pattern significantly reflects regional disparities, with a distinct east high, west low characteristic. This regional difference not only exacerbates the polarization of development levels but also poses more urgent requirements for coordinated development nationwide. In the future, precise policies need to be implemented to promote balanced development and advance the comprehensive construction of a socialist modernized country.

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熊兴,余兴厚,何文洪.中国式现代化水平测度、区域差异及动态演进——学习贯彻党的二十届三中全会精神[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2025,31(3):130-148. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. pj.2024.07.003

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-15
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