中国区域新质生产力水平测度、空间演变及协同效应研究
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云南大学 工商管理与旅游管理学院,云南 昆明 650500

作者简介:

施雄天,云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院博士研究生,Email:shixiongtian@stu.ynu.edu.cn
肖懿(通信作者),云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院博士研究生,Email: xiaoyi@stu.ynu.edu.cn。

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中图分类号:

F124

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金项目“‘城—圈—群’网络结构支撑大中小城市协调发展的机制与路径研究”(23BJY132);云南大学科研创新重点项目“数智异化下PaaS企业的创新生态系统治理研究”(KC-23233830)


Research on the measurement, spatial evolution, and synergistic effects of regional new quality productivity levels in China
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School of Business Administration and Tourism Management, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500,P. R. China

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    摘要:

    文章基于新质生产力的内涵,构建了以科技创新和产业链现代化为核心的指标体系,系统分析了我国区域新质生产力水平的差异、空间演变特征及协同效应,旨在为我国经济的高质量发展提供理论依据和政策支持。文章的创新之处在于首次通过构建复合系统协同度模型,综合评估了科技生产力、教育生产力、人才生产力及绿色化转型等多个维度之间的协同效应,深入揭示了新质生产力内部各要素的交互作用及其对区域经济发展的影响。此外,文章通过Dagum基尼系数和空间收敛性分析,创新性地揭示了我国各地区新质生产力水平的区域差异和空间收敛性。研究结果表明,我国新质生产力整体呈现上升趋势,东部地区显著领先,西部和东北地区相对滞后,体现出较大的区域发展差异。东部地区凭借完善的科技创新基础、现代化产业链体系及政策优势,持续保持领先地位;而西部和东北地区虽获得政策扶持,但与东部差距依然明显,亟需进一步政策支持。Dagum基尼系数分析显示,区域差异主要源自组间差异,尤其中部地区的组内差异明显加剧;空间集聚特征经历了先增强、后减弱,近年来再度显著增强,反映出区域政策调整对高新技术产业的积极作用。空间收敛性分析表明,全国及四大地理分区的新质生产力趋向同一稳态,控制变量如人均GDP、城镇化率等因素加速了收敛进程,尤其在东部、西部和东北地区,收敛速度提升明显,而中部地区收敛速度较慢,反映出其结构性问题。基于复合系统协同度模型的计算分析,科技生产力、教育生产力和人才生产力在东部地区的协同效应尤为显著,政策效果得到了充分发挥。然而,绿色化转型与其他维度的协同性较弱,尤其在产业链现代化过程中,绿色转型因高成本、技术障碍等问题面临挑战,导致短期内整合难度大。2022年,绿色化相关组合的协同度出现负值,反映出企业在适应环境可持续性要求时面临的挑战。基于此,文章提出加大科技创新与产业链现代化的投入,实施差异化政策引导产业升级等建议,适应各区域新质生产力的发展需求,推动我国经济实现可持续的高质量发展。

    Abstract:

    This paper constructs an index system based on the concept of new quality productivity, focusing on technological innovation and industrial chain modernization, and systematically analyzes the differences, spatial evolution characteristics, and synergistic effects of regional new quality productivity levels in China, with the goal of providing theoretical foundations and policy support for promoting high-quality economic development. The innovation of this study lies in the first construction of a composite system synergy model, which comprehensively evaluates the synergistic effects between multiple dimensions such as technological productivity, educational productivity, talent productivity, and green transformation. It reveals the interactions among the internal elements of new quality productivity and their impact on regional economic development. Furthermore, this paper uses Dagum Gini coefficient and spatial convergence analysis to uncover inter-regional disparities and spatial convergence of new quality productivity levels across different regions of China. The results show that China’s overall new quality productivity is on an upward trend, with the eastern region significantly leading, while the western and northeastern regions lag behind, reflecting substantial regional development disparities. The eastern region maintains its leadership through a strong foundation in technological innovation, modernized industrial chains, and policy advantages, while its gap with the western and northeastern regions persists despite policy support, indicating a need for further intervention. Dagum Gini coefficient analysis reveals that regional differences are primarily driven by inter-group disparities, with intra-group disparities in the central region notably increasing. Spatial agglomeration characteristics have evolved, showing a recent resurgence, indicating the positive effects of policy adjustments on high-tech industries. Spatial convergence analysis shows that new quality productivity levels across the country and the four major geographical regions tend to converge to a steady state, with control variables such as per capita GDP and urbanization rate accelerating the process, especially in the eastern, western, and northeastern regions, while the central region lags behind due to structural issues. The composite system synergy model analysis demonstrates strong synergy between technological productivity, educational productivity, and talent productivity in the eastern region, where policies have been effective. However, the synergy between green transformation and other dimensions remains weak, particularly in industrial chain modernization, where green transformation faces challenges such as high costs and technological barriers, leading to short-term difficulties. In 2022, negative synergy values related to green transformation reflect the challenges enterprises face in adapting to environmental sustainability requirements. Therefore, this paper proposes increasing investment in technological innovation and industrial chain modernization, implementing differentiated policies to guide industrial upgrading, and adapting to the development needs of new quality productivity in different regions, thereby promoting sustainable and high-quality economic growth in China.

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施雄天,肖懿.中国区域新质生产力水平测度、空间演变及协同效应研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2025,31(4):31-47. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2025.03.007

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-10-15
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