我国社会智库影响力研究——基于资源依赖理论的组态效应分析
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作者单位:

1.中国社会科学院大学,北京 102488;2.中国社会科学评价研究院,北京 100732

作者简介:

胡薇,法学博士,中国社会科学院大学教授,中国社会科学评价研究院研究员, Email: hwifb@cass.org.cn
牛鸣灏,中国社会科学院大学硕士研究生。

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中图分类号:

C932

基金项目:


Influence of social think tanks in China:A study of the based on the resource configuration effect dependence theory
Author:
Affiliation:

1.University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, P.R.China;2.Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Evaluation Studies, Beijing 100732, P.R.China

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    摘要:

    社会智库根植社会、利益中立、专业性强,是中国特色新型智库的重要组成部分。社会智库具有“社会组织”和“智库”双重身份,其与综合性智库、专业性智库以及企业智库在目标定位、运行机制、资源利用等方面存在显著差异,对于其影响力的发挥亟待深入探讨。为了探索高影响力社会智库的实现路径,本研究基于资源依赖理论,构建社会智库影响力的组态效应模型,综合采用必要条件分析(NCA)及模糊集定性比较分析(fsQCA)方法,从声誉资源、人才资源、传播资源、社会资源和国际资源五大维度提取8个关键条件变量,对我国25个代表性社会智库进行分析,厘清我国社会智库实现高影响力的组态路径,为我国社会智库的建设和发展提供有益借鉴。研究发现:(1)强大的团队实力、稳定的传播渠道、多元的传播载体、丰富的社会活动和广泛的国际合作是打造高影响力社会智库不可或缺的必要因素。(2)存在3条实现我国社会智库高影响力的组态路径,团队实力、传播载体、社会活动、国际合作均出现在每一条组态路径中。进一步通过对每条路径中代表性智库打造高影响力的实践经验的剖析,总结我国社会智库实现高影响力需要重点关注的关键资源,本研究认为,我国社会智库应紧密结合实际情况对资源进行整合、分配和重组,同时结合自身特征与资源禀赋选择合适的高影响力实现路径。本研究不仅拓展了智库研究的理论视角,更为我国社会智库的战略规划提供了资源配置优化方案和路径选择决策框架,对完善中国特色新型智库体系建设具有实践指导价值。

    Abstract:

    Social think tanks, characterized by their deep roots in society, interest neutrality, and strong professionalism, are an important component of the new type think tanks with Chinese characteristics. Possessing dual identities as both social organizations and think tanks, they exhibit significant differences from comprehensive think tanks, specialized think tanks, and corporate think tanks in terms of goal orientation, operational mechanisms, and resource utilization. The exertion of their influence is worthy of in-depth exploration. To explore the path to high-impact social think tanks, this study, based on the resource dependence theory, constructs a configuration effect model of social think tank influence. By comprehensively employing necessary condition analysis (NCA) and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) methods, it identifies eight key condition variables from five dimensions: reputation resources, talent resources, communication resources, social resources, and international resources, and analyzes 25 representative social think tanks in China. This clarifies the configuration paths for Chinese social think tanks to achieve high impact, providing valuable references for the construction and development of social think tanks in China. The research findings are summarized follows: (1) Strong team strength, stable communication channels, diverse communication carriers, rich social activities, and extensive international cooperation are indispensable necessary factors in building high-impact social think tanks. (2) There exist three configuration paths for Chinese social think tanks to achieve high impact, with team strength, communication carriers, social activities, and international cooperation present in each path. Further analysis of the practical experience of representative think tanks in each path in building high impact reveals the key resources that Chinese social think tanks need to focus on to achieve high impact. Chinese social think tanks should closely integrate with the actual situation, integrate, allocate, and reorganize these resources, and choose the appropriate path to high impact based on their own characteristics and resource endowments. This study not only expands the theoretical perspective of think tank research but also provides an optimized resource allocation plan and path selection decision framework for the strategic planning of Chinese social think tanks, holding practical guiding value for improving the system of new type think tanks with Chinese characteristics.

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引用本文

胡薇,牛鸣灏.我国社会智库影响力研究——基于资源依赖理论的组态效应分析[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2025,31(6):111-124. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. pj.2025.10.003

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-20
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