数字经济缓解城乡要素错配的机制、空间溢出及门槛效应
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作者单位:

1.安徽财经大学 经济学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030;2.首都经济贸易大学 国际经济管理学院,北京 100026

作者简介:

周慧,安徽财经大学经济学院副教授,硕士研究生导师,Email: zhouhui8283@163.com
刘杨,首都经济贸易大学国际经济管理学院。

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中图分类号:

F49;F323;F299.2

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金项目“县域城镇化与乡村全面振兴协同发展机制及路径研究”(24BJL056);安徽省社会科学规划项目“数字经济对城乡要素配置的作用机制与路径研究”(AHSKY2022D093);安徽省高校杰出青年科研项目(社科)“统筹推进县域城乡融合发展的机制与路径研究”(2023AH020012)


The mechanism, spatial spillover and threshold effect of digital economy to alleviate urban-rural factor mismatch
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Affiliation:

1.School of Economics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu233030, P.R.China;2.School of International Economics and Management, Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing100026, P.R.China

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    摘要:

    数字经济与经济社会各领域融合的广度与深度不断拓展,要素错配对经济长期健康稳定发展形成较大制约。文章基于2011—2022年全国287个地级市面板数据,对数字经济与城乡要素错配水平进行测算,深入探究数字经济对城乡要素错配的影响,得到如下结论:数字经济改善农业、非农业部门的要素错配且具有显著的空间溢出效应,数字经济改善农业部门对本地区的要素错配,但加剧了周边地区的错配状况,随着数字经济发展,非农业部门缓解了本地及周边区域的要素错配;数字经济通过优化就业结构、外资引导生产要素流向的间接作用改善城乡要素错配,城镇化、政府干预和金融发展水平改善两部门要素错配;数字经济改善城乡要素错配存在区域异质性,农业部门错配改善效果东部最优,东北、西部次之,非农业部门错配改善效果东北最优;数字经济对农业部门错配存在双重门槛,对非农业部门错配存在单一门槛效应,并且存在区域异质性。文章弥补了现有研究集中关注区域间要素配置错位不足的问题,在分析城乡要素优化配置的动因和进入模式的基础上,考察和描述了现阶段存在的城乡要素配置错位的形式,定量识别和检验了城乡要素错配的存在性及其对农业农村发展和农民福利的深层次影响,并分析了其产生的深层制度和体制机制根源,以及数字经济背景下城乡要素错配的改善机制。基于城乡共生发展的框架,从外部要素引入与内部要素激活两个层面,探讨了数字经济缓解城乡要素错配的路径,文章为优化城乡要素配置提供了经验证据。

    Abstract:

    The integration of the digital economy with various sectors of the economy and society is expanding in breadth and depth. Factor mismatch restricts the long-term and stable development of the economy. Based on the panel data of 287 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2022, this paper calculates the digital economy and urban-rural factor mismatch level, and explores the impact of digital economy on urban-rural factor mismatch. The following conclusions are drawn: 1) The digital economy mitigates factor mismatches in the agricultural and non-agricultural sectors and has significant spatial spillover effects; the digital economy mitigates the factor mismatches in the agricultural sector for the region but exacerbates the mismatches in neighboring regions. With the development of the digital economy, the non-agricultural sector mitigates the factor mismatch in the local and neighboring regions. 2) The digital economy ameliorates factor mismatch in urban and rural areas through the indirect effects of optimizing the employment structure and guiding the flow of production factors via foreign investment, and urbanization, government intervention, and the level of financial development mitigate factor mismatch in both sectors. 3) There is regional heterogeneity in the improvement of urban-rural factor mismatch by the digital economy, and the improvement effect of mismatch in the agricultural sector is the best in the east, followed by the northeast and the west; the improvement effect of mismatch in the non-agricultural sector is the best in the northeast. 4) The digital economy has a double threshold effect for mismatch in the agricultural sector and a single threshold effect for mismatch in the non-agricultural sector, and there is regional heterogeneity. This article makes up for the insufficiency of existing research that focuses mainly on the misallocation of factors among regions. Based on the analysis of the driving forces and entry patterns of the optimal allocation of urban and rural factors, it examines and describes the forms of misallocation of urban and rural factors that exist at the present stage, quantitatively identifies and tests the existence of the misallocation of urban and rural factors and its profound impact on the development of agriculture and rural areas and the welfare of farmers. It also analyzes the deep-seated institutional and mechanism roots, as well as the improvement mechanism for the mismatch of urban and rural factors under the background of the digital economy. Based on the framework of symbiotic development between urban and rural areas, this paper explores the paths for the digital economy to alleviate the mismatch of urban and rural factors from two aspects: the introduction of external factors and the activation of internal factors. The article provides empirical evidence for optimizing the allocation of urban and rural factors.

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周慧,刘杨.数字经济缓解城乡要素错配的机制、空间溢出及门槛效应[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2026,32(1):95-114. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2026.01.004

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-02
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