巨灾影响上市企业价值的时间路径及成因分析
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The Duration and Determinants of the Impact of Disasters on Enterprise Value of Listed Companies
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    摘要:

    文章运用适合于集聚效应的事件研究和逐步回归法,检验并分析了“5.12”大地震对川渝上市公司股价影响的时间路径及各样本股票震后市场表现差异的相关因素。研究结果表明,大地震对样本股票的整体显著影响持续至震后10天左右,这期间行业类型与样本股票的超额收益率显著正向相关;而后地震影响在样本股票间此消彼长,这期间影响超额收益率的显著因素是代表企业运营能力的财务指标——存货周转率;震后25天左右,大地震对样本公司股价的影响消失殆尽。

    Abstract:

    This paper examines the impact and its duration of the May 12 earthquake on the enterprise value of local listed companies in China by event study method which is suitable for the event with cluster effect, and finds out the influential factors which contribute to the different performance of the local stocks after the earthquake by stepwise regression. The empirical results indicate that the overall significant impact on local listed companies lasts until the 10th day after the event. During this period, the industry category which will benefit from the reconstruction after the earthquake has a significant correlation with the abnormal return of the listed company. After that, the impact is reflected by the different market performance of the individual stocks. The inventory turnover ratio partly explains the difference. Firms with high inventory turnover ratio more rely on the supply chain and vulnerable to the adverse environment after the earthquake. By the 25th day after the earthquake, the impact has died out.

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杨宝华.巨灾影响上市企业价值的时间路径及成因分析[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2011,17(4):75-80.

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  • 收稿日期:2011-02-22
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