转型期中国金融排斥困境及其对县域经济发展的影响——基于中国2 574个县(市)数据的空间分析
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F832;F061.5;F124

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中央高校基本科研业务费专项项目"‘一带一路’建设民心相通框架下孔子学院跨文化传播研究"(2018CDXYJG0040);重庆大学研究生重点课程建设项目"高级计量经济学"(201805055)


The predicament of China's financial exclusion and its influence on the development of county economy during the transformation period: Spatial analysis based on data from 2574 counties in China
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    摘要:

    文章以中国2 574个县(市)为样本,采用空间计量分析方法刻画我国县域金融排斥的空间分布特征,量化其对县域经济发展的影响。研究发现:金融排斥在地理分布上具有显著的空间正相关关系,即不仅对本县(市)的经济发展具有显著的负面影响,还对其他县(市)有显著的负溢出效应;东部地区金融排斥的空间分布以低—低集聚和低—高集聚为主,而中西部地区则以低—高集聚为主,其中,中部地区形成了以高金融排斥集聚区包围多经济中心的空间分布格局,而西部地区则呈现出大片高金融排斥集聚区包围单经济中心的空间格局;发达地区地方政府的干预限制了金融集聚的空间溢出效应,使落后地区(特别是农村地区)长期陷入金融排斥的不利境地。研究不仅为普惠金融战略的精准实施提供了大样本的直观证据,还以典型地区为样本,深入分析了金融排斥的地区分布特征以及对地区经济的影响,为制定针对性更强的应对措施提供政策参考。

    Abstract:

    Based on 2574 county data, this paper uses spatial econometric analysis to distinguish the spatial distribution characteristics of financial exclusion. The results show that the geographical distribution of financial exclusion has significant positive spatial correlation, it not only has a significant negative impact on the economic development of one county, but also has a significant negative spillover effect on the other counties. The spatial distribution of financial exclusion in the eastern coastal areas is dominated by low-low agglomeration and low-high agglomeration, while the central and western regions are dominated by low-high agglomeration. Among them, the central region has formed a spatial distribution pattern that surrounds the multi economic center with the high financial exclusion zone, while the western region shows a large area of high financial exclusion zone surrounding the single economic center. The intervention of local governments in developed regions has restricted the spatial spillover effect of financial agglomeration and further aggravated the financial exclusion in rural areas. This study not only provides intuitionistic evidence for the accurate implementation of inclusive financial strategy, but also takes typical areas as samples, deeply analyzes the regional distribution characteristics of financial exclusion and its impact on regional economy, and provides policy reference for formulating more targeted countermeasures.

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康继军,杨琰军,傅蕴英,周雁南.转型期中国金融排斥困境及其对县域经济发展的影响——基于中国2 574个县(市)数据的空间分析[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2020,26(6):44-57. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2019.12.001

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  • 最后修改日期:2019-11-25
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-11-12
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