交通可达性与空气污染:效应识别与机制检验
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F726.9;X513

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辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目"辽宁省县域经济高质量发展研究"(L19BJY040)


Traffic accessibility and air pollution:Effect identification and mechanism testing
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    摘要:

    中国雾霾污染呈现出发生频率高、影响范围广、治理难度大的特点,其发生原因及治理路径是政府和学者关注的热点问题。雾霾的产生会受到人类社会经济活动的影响,而近年来中国以高速铁路建设为代表的交通基础设施建设促进了城市间交通可达性的快速提升,有文献开始讨论高铁建设及交通可达性提升对经济产出、产业结构等经济发展的影响,但限于数据的可得性,未见文献讨论高铁及城市间交通可达性对雾霾污染的影响。研究将交通可达性纳入环境经济学的分析框架,首先从要素配置效应、产业升级效应、产业集聚效应三个方面提出交通可达性影响雾霾污染的理论假说,并基于环境库兹涅茨曲线理论框架构建空间计量模型,计算城市间的公路、普通铁路及高速铁路出行的最短交通时间作为交通可达性的量化方法,利用中国大陆283个地级城市MODIS及MISR中 PM2.5浓度的栅格数据,对城市间的交通可达性及城市雾霾污染指标进行空间相关关系检验,检验交通可达性对雾霾污染的影响,讨论模型的内生性及异质性,并进一步分析交通可达性对雾霾污染的作用机制。研究发现城市间的雾霾污染存在显著的空间溢出效应,经济发展与雾霾污染间存在倒"U"型关系,证实了环境库兹涅茨曲线;经验结论也证实交通可达性会显著降低城市雾霾污染,这一结论在中东部城市更为显著;以滞后一期的城市高等学校数量为工具变量,发现上述结论仍然稳健;交通可达性对雾霾的影响中,在短期内可能会有降低或增长雾霾污染的异质性影响,但是从长期看,交通可达性提升有助于降低城市经济间的交通成本和摩擦力,促进经济增长和效率提升,进而降低雾霾污染;交通可达性提升对城市雾霾污染的影响主要通过要素配置效应、产业升级及集聚效应来体现,具体而言,交通可达性提升会通过要素配置效应降低城市雾霾污染,会通过产业升级及集聚效应增加城市雾霾污染。研究认为在处理雾霾污染的过程中,有效的措施包括:通过优化交通基础设施建设等手段,降低要素、技术、产品、产业等在城市间的流动成本,促进资源优化配置和产品市场共享;针对雾霾污染的空间相关性,构建雾霾防治的城市间联动机制。

    Abstract:

    China’s haze pollution presents the characteristics of high occurrence frequency, wide impact range and difficult treatment. Its causes and treatment path are the hot issues concerned by the government and scholars. The generation of haze will be affected by human social and economic activities. In recent years, China’s transportation infrastructure construction represented by high-speed railway construction has promoted the rapid improvement of inter city traffic accessibility. Some literature began to discuss the impact of high-speed railway construction and traffic accessibility improvement on economic development such as economic output and industrial structure, but limited to the availability of data, There is no literature to discuss the impact of high-speed rail and inter city traffic accessibility on haze pollution. The research brings traffic accessibility into the analytical framework of environmental economics. Firstly, the theoretical hypothesis of the impact of traffic accessibility on haze pollution is put forward from three aspects: factor allocation effect, industrial upgrading effect and industrial agglomeration effect. Based on the theoretical framework of Environmental Kuznets curve, a space econometric model constructed to calculate the shortest traffic time of road, ordinary railway and high-speed railway travel between cities as the quantitative method of traffic accessibility. Using the raster data of PM2.5 concentration in MODIS and MISR of 283 cities in Chinese mainland, we test the spatial correlation between urban traffic accessibility and Urban Haze pollution indicators, test the impact of traffic accessibility on haze pollution, and discuss the endogeneity and heterogeneity of the model. The mechanism of traffic accessibility on haze pollution is further analyzed. It is found that there is a significant spatial spillover effect of smog pollution between cities, and there is an inverted "U" relationship between economic development and smog pollution, which confirms the Environmental Kuznets curve; The empirical conclusion also proves that traffic accessibility can significantly reduce urban haze pollution, which is more significant in central and eastern cities; Taking the number of urban colleges and universities lagging behind for one period as the instrumental variable, it is found that the above conclusion is still robust; In the impact of traffic accessibility on haze, it may reduce or increase the heterogeneity of haze pollution in the short term, but in the long term, the improvement of traffic accessibility helps to reduce the traffic cost and friction between urban economies, promote economic growth and efficiency, and then reduce haze pollution; The impact of improved traffic accessibility on Urban Haze pollution is mainly reflected through factor allocation effect, industrial upgrading and agglomeration effect. Specifically, improved traffic accessibility will reduce urban haze pollution through factor allocation effect and increase urban haze pollution through industrial upgrading and agglomeration effect. The research shows that in the process of dealing with haze pollution, effective measures include: reducing the flow cost of factors, technologies, products and industries among cities by optimizing transportation infrastructure construction, and promoting the optimal allocation of resources and product market sharing; Aiming at the spatial correlation of haze pollution, an inter city linkage mechanism for haze prevention and control is constructed.

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王振华,孙学涛,景再方.交通可达性与空气污染:效应识别与机制检验[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2022,28(4):13-27. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. jg.2020.11.006

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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-09-30
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