我国乡村振兴发展水平综合评价研究
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F323

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国家自然科学基金项目"新疆乡村教育现代化高质量发展的动态监测与预警机制"(72264033)


Research on comprehensive evaluation of development level of China’s rural revitalization
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    摘要:

    实施乡村振兴战略是解决我国社会主要矛盾的必然要求,是实现"两个一百年"奋斗目标的必然要求,是实现全体人民共同富裕的必然要求。科学评价乡村振兴战略实施成效对推进乡村振兴战略具有重要意义。本研究依据乡村振兴战略总要求,从"产业兴旺、生态宜居、乡风文明、治理有效、生活富裕"五个维度构建包含21个基础指标的省域乡村振兴评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS法以及莫兰指数对我国31个省份乡村振兴发展水平以及变化趋势进行分析。研究发现:我国乡村振兴总体水平呈增长态势,尤以2018年后的上升幅度最明显。但目前乡村振兴的水平仍然较低,且乡风文明和治理有效两个子系统的综合得分有所下降,甚至退步明显,其发展落后于平均水平的省份最多,是乡村振兴战略实施的薄弱环节。当前产业兴旺系统相较于其他子系统发展最为缓慢,生态宜居和生活富裕系统的地区差异最为明显,东部地区发展较好而西部地区发展欠佳。全局和局部莫兰指数表明,乡村振兴发展水平具有空间聚集特征,乡村振兴水平得分较高(低)的省份在地理位置上较为接近,区域差异明显,整体上呈现"东高西低"的分布特征,但该空间格局尚不稳定,区域差异随着时间的推移正在不断缩小。为此,本研究提出政策建议:第一,加大乡村振兴实施监管力度,保证乡村发展成效;第二,加强乡村精神文明建设,完善乡村治理体系;第三,大力发展乡村特色优势产业,促进乡村产业兴旺;第四,加大乡村振兴政策倾斜力度,缩小乡村发展差异。

    Abstract:

    The strategy of rural revitalization is an inevitable requirement to solve the major social contradictions in China, to achieve the "two centenary goals" and to achieve common prosperity for all people. Scientific evaluation of the implementation effect of the rural revitalization strategy is of great significance for promoting the rural revitalization strategy. According to the general requirements of the rural revitalization strategy, this research constructs a provincial rural revitalization evaluation index system containing 21 basic indicators from five dimensions of "prosperous industry, livable ecology, civilized rural style, effective governance, and affluent life", and analyzes the development level and change trend of rural revitalization in 31 provinces of China by using the entropy weight TOPSIS method and Moran index. The study finds that: the overall level of rural revitalization in China shows a growth trend, especially after 2018. However, at present, the level of rural revitalization is still low, and the comprehensive scores of the two subsystems, namely, rural ethics civilization and effective governance, have declined, showing a marked retrogression. Most provinces lag behind the average level in development, which is the weak link in the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy. At present, compared with other subsystems, the development of the industrial prosperity system is the slowest, and the regional differences of the livable ecology and affluent life systems are the most obvious. The eastern region is better developed, while the western region is less developed. The overall and local Moran indexes show that the level of rural revitalization is characterized by spatial aggregation. The provinces with high (low) rural revitalization scores are relatively close in geographical location, and the regional differences are obvious. The overall distribution is characterized by "high in the east and low in the west". However, the spatial pattern is not stable, and the regional differences are narrowing over time. To this end, this study puts forward corresponding policy recommendations: first, strengthen the supervision of rural revitalization implementation to ensure the effectiveness of rural development; second, strengthen the construction of rural spiritual civilization and improve the rural governance system; third, vigorously develop rural industries with distinctive advantages to promote the prosperity of rural industries; fourth, strengthen the policy of rural revitalization and narrow the differences in rural development.

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蔡文伯,贺薇宇.我国乡村振兴发展水平综合评价研究[J].重庆大学学报社会科学版,2023,(1):102-116. DOI:10.11835/j. issn.1008-5831. pj.2022.12.006

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-02-28
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