合理的生产计划制定与执行是生产顺利进行的有效保证．通过对炼钢连铸生产特点分析，提出基于时间倒推法和流程仿真相结合的用于炼钢连铸生产计划的制定方法，利用时间倒推法快速生成满足一定生产目标的生产作业计划，并作为炼钢物流仿真模型的仿真输入条件，通过模型仿真可进一步制定出考虑了生产过程的时间随机性、运输设备限制，并满足无设备冲突、连浇生产等约束条件的生产计划，提高计划在实际生产的可执行性．应用实例证明了该方法的可行性．

Reasonable production planning effectively ensures smooth operation. According to the analysis of the characteristics of steelmaking-continuous casting production process, a production planning method for steelmaking - continuous casting process based on time backward inference method and process simulation is presented. Production plan meeting certain criteria is rapidly gained by time backward inference method, and is regarded as input of simulation model in steelmaking process. Considering time randomicity in production process and transporting equipment restriction, production plan meeting more restrictive conditions, such as no equipment conflict, continuous casting, and etc, is acquired through simulating. It assures that the plan is carried out in practice. The instance demonstrates the feasibility of the method.

TF345 TP391.9

国家自然科学基金项目（50174061）