在对股票价格与每股净资产、每股收益、行业因素、沪市综合指数关系分析的基础上，以2001年3月1日沪市A股开盘价为准对股价与相关指标进行回归，得到新股上市价格的预测模型。然后，根据新股发行后每股净资产随发行价格的提高而增长这一特点进行求解，求出了全面反映每股净资产、每股收益、行业因素、沪市A股综合指数纳新股上市定价模型，该模型共考虑了5种因素，弥补了新股定价只考虑市盈率单一因素的不足。

Based on the efficiency market theory, considering the relationship between A share prices in Shanghai stock market and factors such as earnings per share, net asset value per share, industry price/earning ratios, this paper builds the multiple regression model between the opening A share prices at the time point of March 1st,2001 and their corresponding financial indexes. Then, according to the fact that the net asset value per share after the new issue will change in the same rate with the issuing prices, this paper calculates the relationship between them and gives out the new issue pricing model which considers 5 factors, including such factors as the A share composite indexes in shanghai stock market. This model is very meaningful and compensates the deficiency of the traditional pricing methodology which considers only the P/E ratios.

F832.51

国家自然科学基金资助项目 ( 79970 0 73 )