通过扩展Modigliani的生命周期假说模型,利用我国股票市场与房地产市场(住宅市场)方面的数据,运用单整与协整检验方法及误差修正模型,对股票市场和房地产市场(住宅市场)的财富效应进行了实证研究.研究结果表明,无论从长期还是短期来看,流通股市值是影响消费支出的最主要因素,股票市场的财富效应是收缩的财富效应,而房地产市场(住宅市场)的财富效应是扩张的财富效应.

Based on the Modigliani's Life-Cycle Hypothesis of consumption,and relevant data,the paper empirically studies stock market and real estate market wealth effect in China by using the method of unit root test and cointegrating regression.The results show that,regardless of short-run effect and long-run effect,the stock market wealth has significantly negative effect on civil' consumption level,but real estate market wealth or housing market wealth has significantly positive effect on civil' consumption level.

F830.9

重庆市统计局科研资助项目