油气长输管道综合评价模型设计与实现
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重庆市教委科学技术研究基金资助项目(kj111401)


Design and implementation of comprehensive evaluation model for long distance oil-gas pipeline
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    摘要:

    现有的管道安全评价模型普遍采用专家打分法等主观性方法,但在确定权重时,受主观意识影响较为严重,存在评价结果与现场实际吻合度不高、评价结果不够全面等缺点。笔者针对油气长输管道安全评价实施现状及评价需求,在对油气长输管道安全评价目标和特点分析基础上,确定了油气长输管道的主要评价指标,应用模糊数学方法建立了油气长输管道综合评价模型,并对评价模型的关键技术进行分析,其中综合运用变异系数法、层次分析法进行量化分析准则层权重,通过建立优先关系矩阵和模糊一致矩阵的方法确定指标层权重。通过算例验证了所推出模型的可行性和准确性。

    Abstract:

    Existing pipeline safety evaluation models commonly use the subjective methods such as the expert evaluation method, but the subjective consciousness has serious influence on the determination of index weight. Therefore, the match degree of the evaluation and the real condition is low and the evaluation result lacks of comprehensiveness. This paper determines the major evaluation index of long-distance oil-gas pipelines through the analysis of the goals and features of the safety evaluation. Fuzzy mathematics method is applied to build the comprehensive evaluation model of long-distance oil-gas pipelines and to analyze the key technology of the evaluation model. Variation coefficient method and analytic hierarchy process are comprehensively utilized to make a quantitative analysis of the criteria layer weight, and preferential relation matrix and fuzzy consistent matrix are established to determine the index layer weight. Finally, some examples are given to verify the feasibility and accuracy of the proposed model.

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王艳平,曹树刚,刘洪,孟繁琦,梁平.油气长输管道综合评价模型设计与实现[J].重庆大学学报,2013,36(11):121-126.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2013-11-29
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