Abstract:In this paper, trend forecasting of geo-hazards of China in 2017 was carried out based on the dangerous parameter of geo-hazard forecasting theory. The profile, type and spatial distribution characteristics were forecasted. The trend forecasting result showed that 7 190 geo-hazards would happen all over the country in 2017, primarily in northwestern and northeastern Yunnan, southern and northeastern Sichuan, northwestern and eastern Guizhou, southern Chongqing, part of northern Guangdong, western and southeastern Hunan, southern Jiangxi, and western Fujian, etc. Comparison with the actual situation of geo-hazards in 2017 indicates that the forecasting of total quantity and landslide quantity are highly acceptable with errors less than 5%. The incidence of geo-hazards is high in the areas with very high potential risk (LevelⅠ) or high potential risk (Level Ⅱ), and low in the areas with moderate potential risk (Level Ⅲ) or low potential risk (Level Ⅳ), proving that the forecasting is in good agreement with the the actual situation as a whole. But the forecasting in the areas (Level I) is not accurate enough because the geo-hazard incidence in the areas (LevelⅡ) is higher than that in the areas (Level I). The result of geo-hazard trend forecasting provides support and decision-making reference on disaster prevention and reduction for the government departments concerned.