风力发电机覆冰在线监测动态预警模型
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作者单位:

重庆大学 雪峰山能源装备安全国家野外科学观测研究站,重庆 400044

作者简介:

胡琴(1981—),男,教授,博士生导师,主要从事复杂环境电气外绝缘和电网防冰减灾技术方面的研究工作,(E-mail)huqin@cqu. edu.cn。

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

TM614

基金项目:

重庆市科技局资助项目(cstc2021jscx-dxwtB0002)。


A dynamic early warning model for online monitoring of wind turbine blade icing
Author:
Affiliation:

Xuefeng Mountain Energy Equipment Safety National Observation and Research Station, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, P. R. China

Fund Project:

Supported by Chongqing Science and Technology Bureau (cstc2021jscx-dxwtB0002).

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    摘要:

    寒潮期间风力发电机叶片表面容易出现覆冰现象,会导致发电能力降低、设备运行不稳定甚至故障,因此开展风力发电机覆冰预警方法的研究具有重要意义。文中分析SCADA运行数据库,基于风速、功率和温度数据的特征量,利用随机森林算法建立覆冰事件预警模型;通过旋转圆柱阵列装置实时监测覆冰厚度,建立覆冰实时预警模型,实现覆冰事件预警和实时预警的动态机制。以重庆万宝风电场3.2 MW风电机组的覆冰案例,开展覆冰预警试验验证。结果表明:覆冰事件预警模型的测试结果分类精确率在95%以上,并能在风力发电机叶片出现覆冰情况前1 h内多次发出预警;实时预警模型在风力发电机覆冰后持续发出预警,模型能够持续跟踪风力发电机覆冰环境的变化趋势;验证了动态预警模型可以为风力发电机的安全运行和有效管理提供决策依据。

    Abstract:

    Blade icing frequently occurs on wind turbines operating in cold weather conditions, leading to reduced power output, unstable equipment operation, and even severe mechanical failures. Therefore, developing effective early warning methods for wind turbine icing is of great practical significance. In this study, Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) operational data are analyzed, and key features are constructed based on wind speed, power output, and ambient temperature. An early warning model for blade icing events is established using a random forest algorithm. In addition, real-time monitoring of ice thickness is achieved through a rotating cylindrical array device, based on which a real-time icing early warning model and a dynamic warning mechanism are developed. A 3.2 MW wind turbine at the Wanbao Wind Farm in Chongqing is used as a case study to validate the proposed approach. The results show that the icing occurrence warning model achieves a classification accuracy exceeding 95%, and warning signals are issued multiple times within 1 h prior to blade icing events. Furthermore, the real-time warning model continues to generate alerts after icing occurs, demonstrating its capability to continuously track the evolution of the turbine icing environment. Overall, the proposed dynamic early warning model provides effective decision support for the safe operation and efficient management of wind turbines.

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引用本文

胡琴,饶立鹏,王力,蒋兴良,舒立春.风力发电机覆冰在线监测动态预警模型[J].重庆大学学报,2026,49(3):1-12.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-16
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-04-02
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