基于xLSTM的大型水资源配置工程多区域电力消耗预测算法
作者:
作者单位:

1.重庆市西部水资源开发有限公司;2.重庆大学 自动化学院

基金项目:

重庆市技术创新与应用发展专项重点项目(CSTB2022TIAD-KPX0127)


Multi regional power consumption prediction in large-scale construction projects based on xLSTM
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Chongqing Western Water Resources Development Co., Ltd;2.Chongqing University

Fund Project:

Chongqing Key Project of Technological Innovation and Application Development (Grant No. CSTB2022TIAD-KPX0127)

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    摘要:

    随着水资源配置工程的规模不断扩大,准确预测电力消耗对能源节约、成本控制和施工效率至关重要。传统电力消耗预测方法,如LSTM和Transformer,在处理复杂时序数据时,难以同时捕捉短期和长期依赖。为应对这一挑战,本文提出基于xLSTM(扩展长短期记忆网络)对多区域电力消耗进行预测。xLSTM结合了sLSTM的短期依赖建模优势与mLSTM的长期依赖建模能力,能够有效处理多个区域间电力消耗数据,考虑不同区域的时序关联性。实验结果表明,xLSTM在多区域电力消耗预测中表现优异,均方误差(MSE)为0.0030,平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.035,优于其他模型。该模型为电力消耗的精准预测提供了有效的技术支持,能够为大型水资源配置工程中的精准决策和智能调度管理提供有力保障。

    Abstract:

    With the continuous expansion of water resource allocation projects, accurate prediction of electricity consumption is crucial for energy conservation, cost control, and construction efficiency. Traditional power consumption prediction methods, such as LSTM and Transformer, are difficult to capture both short-term and long-term dependencies when processing complex time-series data. To address this challenge, this paper proposes using xLSTM (Extended Long Short Term Memory Network) to predict power consumption in multiple regions. XLSTM combines the short-term dependency modeling advantages of sLSTM with the long-term dependency modeling capabilities of mLSTM, and can effectively process power consumption data between multiple regions, considering the temporal correlation between different regions. The experimental results show that xLSTM performs well in multi regional power consumption prediction, with a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0030 and an average absolute error (MAE) of 0.035, which is superior to other models. This model provides effective technical support for precise prediction of electricity consumption, and can provide strong guarantees for accurate decision-making and intelligent scheduling management in large-scale water resource allocation projects.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-27
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-13
  • 录用日期:2025-03-04
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