长江源水环境及其流域“自然-社会”演变过程研究
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1.青海省水文水资源测报中心;2.重庆大学环境与生态学院

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TV145

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青海高原典型河湖生态安全立体监测及预警关键技术研究项目(2020-SF-151);合同编号:2023QHSKXRCTJ24


Study on the Water Environment and “Nature-Society” Evolution Process in the Source Region of the Yangtze River
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1.Qinghai Hydrology and Water Resources Measurement Center,Xining;2.College of Environment and Ecology,Chongqing University

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    摘要:

    长江源区作为我国重要的淡水资源补给地和青藏高原生态安全屏障的重要组成部分,其水环境质量及流域的“自然-社会”演变过程对长江流域乃至全国的生态安全和可持续发展具有重要影响。本文从水的视角,首先基于1956—2022年(67年)间长江源区水文因子演变特点,结合气候变化特征进行水量预测;其次,通过2012—2022年长江源主要河流的水质监测和土地利用变化情况,结合“生产-生活-生态”模型,分析了长江源区水环境质量的动态变化及其与人类活动的相互作用。研究结果表明,未来长江源区出山口径流量将随着降水增减、气温上升而发生波动,波动幅度约为±15%。长江源区水质长期维持在II类水标准,适宜作为饮用水源地和珍稀鱼类保护区。格尔木市和玉树市在“生产-生活-生态”功能上的演变存在显著差异,玉树市表现出较高的“三生”融合度,具有较大的生态保护与经济发展协调的潜力。本文的研究为长江源区的可持续发展提供了科学依据。

    Abstract:

    The source region of the Yangtze River, as a crucial freshwater resource supply area in China and an essential component of the ecological security barrier on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, exerts significant influence on the ecological security and sustainable development of the Yangtze River Basin and even the entire nation through its water environment quality and the evolution process of the “nature-society” system within the watershed. This study examines the hydrological and environmental dynamics of the Yangtze River source region through a dual analysis of water flow evolution and water quality changes. First, based on hydrological and climatic data from 1956 to 2022 (67 years), we project future runoff trends at the basin outlet, revealing fluctuations of approximately ±15% driven by precipitation variability and rising temperatures. Second, by integrating water quality monitoring data (2012–2022), land use changes, and the "Production-Living-Ecology" (PLE) model, we assess long-term water environment quality and its interplay with human activities. Our findings indicate that the water quality in the region has consistently met Class II standards, affirming its suitability as a drinking water source and a conservation zone for rare aquatic species. Furthermore, comparative analysis of Golmud City and Yushu City demonstrates divergent PLE functional evolution, with Yushu exhibiting stronger synergy among the "triple functions" and greater potential for harmonizing ecological preservation with socioeconomic development. This research provides a scientific foundation for sustainable management strategies in the Yangtze River source region.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-06-16
  • 最后修改日期:2025-07-21
  • 录用日期:2025-09-30
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