基于多尺度ELM宽度集成的锂电池RUL预测方法
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作者单位:

1.江苏师范大学 人工智能与计算机学院;2.中国矿业大学 机电工程学院

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中图分类号:

TP183???????

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


RUL Prediction Method for Lithium Batteries based on Multi-scale ELM Width ensemble
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Affiliation:

1.School of Artificial Intelligence and Computer Science, Jiangsu Normal University;2.School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology

Fund Project:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (General Program, Key Program, Major Research Plan)

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    摘要:

    锂电池剩余寿命预测是电池预测性维护与健康管理的关键。现有方法受工作环境、生产工艺等因素影响,存在训练数据需求大、计算效率低、难满足实时性要求等问题。为此,提出一种基于多尺度特征抽取与ELM集成的锂电池RUL预测方法。研究过程中,针对复杂锂电池寿命数据时空特征抽取问题,通过自适应噪声完全集合经验模态分解与空洞卷积提取多尺度特征,精确刻画电池寿命数据特征模态变化行为;为提高复杂序列数据预测模型的精度和鲁棒性以及应用于资源受限场景,基于宽度学习与集成学习思想,构建了弹性网络正则化的极限学习机集成锂电池剩余寿命预测模型。基于马里兰大学CALCE数据集实验结果表示,所提方法较最优深度学习模型RMSE降低了81.25%、MAPE降低了60.43%、R2提升了0.74%;较最优传统机器学习模型,训练时间增加不足1ms,预测时间减少了45%。有效提高了模型的预测精度和鲁棒性,使得轻量化模型能够更好地应用于资源受限场景。

    Abstract:

    Predicting remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium batteries is crucial for predictive maintenance and health management. Existing methods suffer from issues such as high training data requirements, low computational efficiency, and difficulty meeting real-time demands due to factors like operating environments and manufacturing processes. To address this, this paper proposes a lithium battery RUL prediction method based on multi-scale feature extraction and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) ensemble. To address the challenge of extracting spatio-temporal features from complex lithium battery lifetime data, this study employed Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) and dilated convolution to extract multi-scale features, accurately capturing the modal variations in battery lifetime behavior. An ELM-integrated lithium battery RUL prediction model was built based on Elastic Net (EN) regularization, combining concepts from Broad Learning System (BLS) and ensemble learning, to improve the prediction model"s accuracy and robustness for complex sequential data and allow its use in resource-constrained scenarios.Experimental results on the Maryland University"s CALCE dataset reveal that the suggested strategy yields an 81.25% reduction in RMSE, a 60.43% decrease in MAPE, and a 0.74% improvement in R2 relative to the optimum deep learning model. Compared to the optimal standard machine learning model, training time increases by less than 1ms, while prediction time drops by 45%. This method successfully boosts model prediction accuracy and robustness, enabling lightweight models to perform better in resource-constrained circumstances.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-12-05
  • 最后修改日期:2025-12-30
  • 录用日期:2026-03-16
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