基于最大Lyapunov指数的网络业务流量预测
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重庆市科委攻关项目


A Prediction of Network Traffic Flow Based on Lyapunov Exponent
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    摘要:

    在高速网络资源分配与拥塞控制研究中,网络业务流量的预报是一个具有重要意义的课题.基于准确的业务预报,网络管理和控制方案更易于适应业务流量的动态变化,从而达到优化网络性能的目的.而高速网络中大量存在着以自相似性为特征的多种业务流量.已有研究表明,这种自相似特性与混沌现象的吸引子有着紧密的联系.笔者利用混沌时间序列的重构相空间方法,对高速网络中自相似信源的速率做出了预测,并给出了最大可预报时间.该方法的预测模式简单,仿真结果表明,预测的精度也比较高.

    Abstract:

    The prediction of network traffic flow is a problem of great significance in the research work of resource allocation and congestion control. Based on this accurate prediction, the scheme of resource allocation and control can easily adapt to dynamic variations of incoming traffic flow. So the goal of optimal network performance is achieved. There are many sorts of traffic flow of self-similarity characteristics in high-speed network, and some research work has showed this self-similarity keeps in close contact with the attractor of chaos system. A rate prediction of self-similar traffic sources in high-speed network is proposed as well as the maximum of predictable time by applying the technology of phase space reconstruction about chaotic time series. This method has a simple prediction mode, and the result of simulations indicates it also has highly accurate results.

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罗燕,汪纪锋,曹长修.基于最大Lyapunov指数的网络业务流量预测[J].重庆大学学报,2004,27(5):28-30.

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  • 最后修改日期:2003-12-28
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