基于三参数威布尔分布的锆合金疲劳寿命高准确度预测模型构建方法
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作者:
作者单位:

1.中国核动力研究设计院, 成都 610213;2.核反应堆技术全国重点实验室, 成都 610213;3.中航(成都)无人机系统股份有限公司, 成都 611743

作者简介:

胡述伟(1993—),男,工学博士,主要从事核反应堆燃料及材料设计研究,(E-mail)hushuwei@npic.ac.cn。

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中图分类号:

TG 146.414;TL 341

基金项目:

四川省自然科学基金资助项目(2023NSFSC0979);国家重点研发计划资助项目(2022YFB1902400)。


A method for constructing a high-accuracy prediction model for zirconium alloy fatigue life based on the three-parameter Weibull distribution
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Nuclear Power Institute of China, Chengdu 610213, P. R. China;2.National Key Laboratory of Nuclear Reactor Technology, Chengdu 610213, P. R. China;3.AVIC (Chengdu) UAS Co., Ltd., Chengdu 611743, P. R. China

Fund Project:

Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province (2023NSFSC0979) and the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2022YFB1902400).

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    摘要:

    反应堆运行时,锆合金包壳会承载一定循环载荷,在设计过程中必须要考虑包壳材料的疲劳性能,防止疲劳失效。为了更准确地拟合和预测锆合金的疲劳性能,以2种不同热处理状态锆合金疲劳试验数据为数据基础,采用概率权重矩方法得到三参数威布尔分布模型拟合得到可靠度-应力-寿命(R-S-N)曲线,并与基于传统Basquin模型的R-S-N曲线拟合结果进行对比验证,发现基于三参数威布尔分布的R-S-N曲线具备更高的拟合准确度,显著优于传统方法拟合结果,对锆合金疲劳性能分析与预测具有良好的适用性。

    Abstract:

    During the operation of nuclear reactors, zirconium alloy claddings are subjected to significant cyclic stresses, necessitating an accurate evaluation of their fatigue properties essential for preventing structural failure. This study proposes a high-accuracy prediction method for the fatigue life of zirconium alloys by employing fatigue test data from alloys subjected to two distinct heat-treatment conditions. A three-parameter Weibull distribution model was established using the probabilistic weighted moments method to construct reliability-stress-number (R-S-N) cycles curves. These curves were rigorously compared and validated against those obtained from the traditional Basquin model. The findings indicate that the R-S-N curves derived from the three-parameter Weibull distribution demonstrate superior fitting accuracy and significantly outperform the conventional model. This advanced modeling approach provides a reliable and effective means for predicting the fatigue behavior of zirconium alloys, offering significant implications for the structural design and safety assessment of nuclear reactors.

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胡述伟,祁童百惠,郭姗,邱玺,尹泓卜,兰峋,高士鑫,辛勇.基于三参数威布尔分布的锆合金疲劳寿命高准确度预测模型构建方法[J].重庆大学学报,2025,48(12):1-11.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-12
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-12
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