基于鲍莫尔－富克斯假说及后续修正模型，将服务业工资增长率滞后程度引入模型，建立能恰当反映重庆市服务业就业份额上升原因的计量模型,并用1985—2012年重庆市相关数据进行实证。研究表明：制成品部门劳动生产率增长率的提高对服务业就业份额的提升起抑制作用。不断提高部门间产业依赖度才是提高服务业就业份额的重要举措。服务业劳动生产率增长率的提高对本部门就业份额的提升起促进作用，对克服“成本病”也具有重要意义。提高服务业工资总额增长率是服务业主动提高就业份额的有效途径。

Based on Baumol-Fuchs Hypothesis and its subsequent model, introducing a new variable which stands for lags in service wage growth rate, to establish a new econometric model to reveal the reasons of the increase of service employment share growth rate in Chongqing. An empirical study with relevant statistics data of Chongqing from 1985 to 2012 shows that: the increase of manufacturing industry productivity growth rate has a negative effect on the rise of service employment share rate. To enhance connections between the two sectors is the right way to increase the service employment share growth rate; the increase of service productivity growth rate has a positive effect on the rise of service employment share growth rate. Besides, it helps to avoid the “cost disease”; increasing service wage growth rate is an efficient way to improve service employment share growth rate.

“十三五”重庆推进新型城镇化体制机制研究