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Volume 16,Issue 4,1993 Table of Contents

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    • 1  The Probabilistic Production Simulation of Interconnected Generating Systems with Independent Loads
    Yang Xiutai Zhang Zongyi Xu Guoyu
    1993, 16(4):1-5.
    [Abstract](510) [HTML](0) [PDF 218.51 K](854)
    Abstract:
    A new method, based on the direct method of weighting multiple normal distri butions, is proposed to evaluate the production costs of two interconnected systems. It can be applied in calculation of expected power generation, reliability indexes and production coats of two interconnected systems without their load correlation. The effect of the linking line on the interconnection is also studied.
    2  A Dynamic Model for Generation Expansion Planning and Algorithm
    Yang Xiutai Nie Duan
    1993, 16(4):6-10.
    [Abstract](514) [HTML](0) [PDF 209.44 K](1199)
    Abstract:
    This paper discusses the problem of long-range generation expansion planning. A dynamic model for long-range expansion planning is set up and an algorithm-a two-step programming is presented, which is used here in a case.
    3  The Application of Furry Decision for Generation Expansion Planning
    Nie Duan Yang Xiutai
    1993, 16(4):11-15.
    [Abstract](431) [HTML](0) [PDF 176.59 K](535)
    Abstract:
    Fuzzy decision was applied to the generation expansion planning and a method of fuzzy decision of generation expansion planning has been presented in this paper.
    4  A New Method for Determining the Typical Daily Load Curves
    Yang Xiutai Zhang Zongyi Xu Guoyu
    1993, 16(4):16-20.
    [Abstract](534) [HTML](0) [PDF 208.99 K](652)
    Abstract:
    After analyzing the ten-year load data of a real power system, a novel method, with the help of Edgeworth progression has been developed to determine the representative daily load curve, which is useful in power generation planning. The method is successful to avoid the random and subjective factors in the exiting method of curve-making.
    5  An Optimal Bicriterion Grey Input-output Model in Energy System
    Yang Xiutai Guo Jinmu Ren Yulong
    1993, 16(4):21-25.
    [Abstract](541) [HTML](0) [PDF 197.03 K](964)
    Abstract:
    This paper combines the energy input-output model with an optimal bicriterion model, and uses the grey system theory to set up an optimal bicriterion grey input-output(OBGIO)model. This paper also put forward some amendments to bicriterion algorithm. Finally, the OBGIO model is used to optimize the energy economic structure of a city, and analyze its potentiality on the structural energy saving.
    6  Analyses of Chongqing''''s Complex Energy Consumption
    Guo Jinmu Yang Xiutai Ren Yulong
    1993, 16(4):26-29.
    [Abstract](753) [HTML](0) [PDF 190.22 K](955)
    Abstract:
    This paper and studied the energy economy in the light of the system theory and method. An energy input-output table has been compiled and an energy input-output model has been set up to analyse in a broad sense the energy consumption in Chongqing with a new generalized method.
    7  Analysis of Electricity Pricing by Marginal Cost Model of Rainy and Dry Season
    Feng Qishan Sun Hui
    1993, 16(4):30-36.
    [Abstract](641) [HTML](0) [PDF 287.51 K](567)
    Abstract:
    根据我国电价现状,利用微观经济学基本原理,分析平均成本和边际成本两种定价制的优缺点,阐明边际成本定价的科学性。同时,论证了边际成本制订丰枯电价的合理性,为电价的科学决策提供理论依据。
    8  Improvement on the Usage of the Transportation Model
    Wang Zhuding Yang Xiutai
    1993, 16(4):37-41.
    [Abstract](364) [HTML](0) [PDF 238.82 K](747)
    Abstract:
    基于实际输电网运行方式的多样性,提出了输电费用法潮流在安全经济扩展网络规划优化中具有较直流潮流更优的分布方案——这与人们长期以来的观点是相悖的,从而经其使用方法的改进为得到技术上可行、经济上更优的规划方案提供了可能。以此为基础,整个规划过程可分为初选网络、扩展网络和安全扩展网络三步相连的协调计算过程。该方法已在某省电网规划中应用,并经IEEE6节点实验系统的计算分析,表明了方法的优势和实用性。
    9  A pricing method of depletable nonrecyclable resources
    Yang Xiutai Pu Yong Jian
    1993, 16(4):42-45.
    [Abstract](493) [HTML](0) [PDF 191.29 K](119)
    Abstract:
    A pricing method of depletable nonrecyclable resources has been advanced in this paper. Prices of resources, made with the method, can meet the needs of depletable nonrecycclable resources optimum allocation.
    10  A System Dynamics Model of Rural Eletrification in Small-Hydroelectric Area
    Feng Oishan Sun Hui Chen Zhen
    1993, 16(4):58-62.
    [Abstract](576) [HTML](0) [PDF 221.77 K](712)
    Abstract:
    In present paper, a system dynamics model of Rural electrification in small-hydroelectric area was designed by using the principle of system dynamics. The model provides a scientific basis for computer emulation and simulation, and it can be used to analyze the policies on rural electrification.
    11  Application of Primary Component Analysis Method in Development of Rural Electrification
    FengQishan Chen Zhen Sun Hui
    1993, 16(4):63-68.
    [Abstract](541) [HTML](0) [PDF 236.34 K](555)
    Abstract:
    After expounding the principles of primary component analysis, the authors have calculated and analyzed on computer, about twenty technical and economic data of rural electrification in zhejiang province, and found out the key factors which influence the rural electrification in china. According to the research results, the authors forecast the developing trend of rural electrification in our country.
    12  Stock System is an Effective Way in Rural Electrification
    Feng Qishan Chen Xun
    1993, 16(4):79-82.
    [Abstract](372) [HTML](0) [PDF 231.13 K](701)
    Abstract:
    Rural electrification is the only way for the countryside to get rid of economic poverty and to achiev a stable and coordinated development. But since the relations between the local small electric network and the state big one have not been straightened out, the development of rural electrification has not yet rapidly gone ahead. This paper analyzed this unsolved problem and suggested an assumption of setting up some local stock power companies, so as to have a possibility to solve the problem completely.
    13  A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON QUANTITATIVE EVALUATION METHODS FOR DIRECT INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
    Liu Xing Yang Xiutai Zha Deli
    1993, 16(4):91-97.
    [Abstract](457) [HTML](0) [PDF 333.01 K](1007)
    Abstract:
    ABSTRACT This paper discusses the most representative and practical quantitative evaluation methods of direct investment environment at home and abroad, analyses them deeply and comprehensively in the form of comparative study, and points out some further studying perspectives of the quantitative methods of direct investment environment.
    14  The Reasonable Limit of Government Loans under Its Different Issue Patterns
    Meng Weidong
    1993, 16(4):98-103.
    [Abstract](730) [HTML](0) [PDF 203.71 K](653)
    Abstract:
    分析了多马公债债务负担模型成立的条件,提出了不同发行模式下公债的合理数量界限,该界限是一个相对于国民收入增长率的数量界限。希望能为合理控制公债发行提供理论基础。
    15  A Group Quantitative Method for Adjusting the stock structure of Products
    Gu Yuansheng Zhou Ming Liu Xing
    1993, 16(4):104-109.
    [Abstract](617) [HTML](0) [PDF 276.43 K](149)
    Abstract:
    Products in enterprises are various in specifications. In order to get better benefits, it is essential for the managers of these enterprises to make right decisions for adjusting the stock structure of products. This paper develops a new modil system, which includes a series of interactive models, such as quatitative analysis, balance and evaluation models etc, and provides a frame for using these models to support the decision-making of product structure adjust.
    16  A Study on Thinking Process and Working Procedure of Technology Innovation in Value Engineering
    Li Chuanzhao Zhang Weiguo
    1993, 16(4):110-114.
    [Abstract](581) [HTML](0) [PDF 222.66 K](144)
    Abstract:
    The relationship between value Engineering and technology innovation was studied in the paper, and the thinking process and basic working procedure were farther discussed. The theory and application of Value Engineering got farther improvement.
    17  The Cyclical Fluctuations and Its Prediction in Business
    Chen Jingyu
    1993, 16(4):115-119.
    [Abstract](722) [HTML](0) [PDF 258.90 K](217)
    Abstract:
    This paper analysed the four forms of the cyclical fluctuation in business in our country: trade, administrative, product and managerial cyclical changes, and studied how to construct the models of residual method and pressure analysis method and with which to predict the business cycles.
    18  On the Cyclical Acceleration Between Economy and Technology
    Long Yong
    1993, 16(4):120-124.
    [Abstract](446) [HTML](0) [PDF 243.39 K](105)
    Abstract:
    In harmony with the development of reform, this article further studies the prerequisite of cyclical acceleration between economy and technology in a market economy system. It draws the conclusion that an owner control right promotes the cyclical acceleration in both economy and technology, with the way of combination of qualitative and quantitative methods.
    19  The Shortcoming and Improvement of the Project Break-Even Analysis Method
    Su Su
    1993, 16(4):125-129.
    [Abstract](573) [HTML](0) [PDF 218.60 K](173)
    Abstract:
    This paper points out the shortcoming of the existing project break-even analysis method. A new improved method-the dynamic project break-even analysis method has been put forward.
    20  An Integrated Model of Business Decision Support Systems
    Gu Yuansheng Zhou Ming
    1993, 16(4):130-135.
    [Abstract](588) [HTML](0) [PDF 237.57 K](160)
    Abstract:
    提出了一个支持企业管理者进行综合决策的模型系统,并介绍了模型间的相互关系及模型的组合调用方法。以此模型系统为核心的DSS能够解决企业的系统优化和综合平衡问题。
    21  A Muti-Objective Network Planning Model for Project
    Zen Fanqi Gu Yuasheng Zen Xianglin
    1993, 16(4):136-143.
    [Abstract](566) [HTML](0) [PDF 356.08 K](127)
    Abstract:
    Based on the network planning model developed by the author for an overhaul project of a rolling mill production line in a heavy steel plant, an new multiobjective network planning model is proposed in this paper. The formulations of network time parameters are derived. The optimization problem of multiobjective network planning is also discussed. And it has been found out that the fractional single-objctive network is only one of the cases in this model.
    22  An Information System for Vehicle Transport Management
    Zeng Fanqi Zhou Ming Wang Yong
    1993, 16(4):150-154.
    [Abstract](1503) [HTML](0) [PDF 269.30 K](383)
    Abstract:
    This paper proposes a model framework, which describes the function requirements and the common characterstics of vehicle transport management. With the frame, a computer vehicle transportation managerment information system(QCMIS)is in troduced here and it has already been put into practice. The key technical points is also explained in the paper.
    23  An Optimization Model and Its Computer Software System for Regulation of Alloy Elements During Steelmaking Process
    Huang Wenjing Gu Yuansheng Zen Fanqi
    1993, 16(4):155-160.
    [Abstract](533) [HTML](0) [PDF 230.69 K](129)
    Abstract:
    In this paper, an optimization model is designed for regulating alloy elements during steelmaking process, and a real-time computer software system has been developed based on the characteristics of alloy steelmaking. The results indicate that the system is of good operation performance, remarkable economical benefits and higher application value.

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